Showing posts with label tariffs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label tariffs. Show all posts

Monday, April 14, 2025

💥 Burning Bridges and Breaking Treaties: Trump’s NATO Playbook

Donald Trump's actions and rhetoric as President of the United States have been criticized as undermining Article 2 of the NATO Treaty, which promotes economic collaboration among member states to reduce the risk of conflict stemming from divergent economic policies.

📜 What Article 2 of the NATO Charter Says:

“The Parties will contribute toward the further development of peaceful and friendly international relations by strengthening their free institutions, by bringing about a better understanding of the principles upon which these institutions are founded, and by promoting conditions of stability and well-being. They will seek to eliminate conflict in their international economic policies and will encourage economic collaboration between any or all of them.”

This article is about more than just military defense — it emphasizes mutual economic cooperation and reducing economic tensions within the alliance.


💥 Ways Trump Has Been Accused of Violating the Spirit of Article 2:

1. Trade Wars with NATO Allies

Trump initiated and escalated trade disputes with key NATO members like Canada, Germany, and the EU by:

  • Imposing tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from allies under national security grounds (Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act).

  • Threatening tariffs on European cars.

  • Retaliating against French digital services taxes.

These measures sparked tit-for-tat tariffs, harming cross-border economic stability and undermining efforts to reduce economic conflicts.

2. Publicly Undermining Allies

Trump often framed NATO allies as economic "freeloaders", accusing them of taking advantage of the U.S. economically and militarily. This antagonistic framing:

  • Soured economic relations between member countries.

  • Undermined trust that underpins collaborative trade and development.

3. Discouraging Investment & Stability

Trump’s repeated threats to withdraw from NATO and his transactional approach to alliances created uncertainty in:

  • Defense-related industries and transatlantic investment.

  • The overall economic stability that NATO promotes.

Such uncertainty can discourage long-term planning and undermine cooperative projects, particularly in technology, infrastructure, and energy security.


🧠 The Bigger Picture:

While Article 2 doesn’t have enforcement mechanisms or binding legal clauses, it sets a tone of solidarity, peace, and shared prosperity. Trump's confrontational and unilateral economic policies weakened that solidarity and contradicted the spirit and purpose of economic collaboration in the alliance.

This doesn't mean Trump formally broke Article 2 in a legal sense — NATO articles aren't typically "violated" like criminal laws — but many critics argue that he betrayed its intent and undermined NATO unity.

While it's true that Article 2 of the NATO treaty doesn't contain enforceable legal mechanisms, its language is foundational in shaping the alliance's ethos — promoting peace, economic cooperation, and mutual respect among member nations. Trump's aggressive economic posturing, particularly his trade threats against allies and transactional approach to defense funding, ran counter to the spirit of collaborative partnership Article 2 seeks to uphold. These actions may not constitute a formal violation, but they eroded trust and unity within NATO at a time when cohesion was vital.

Supporters of Trump’s approach often cheer his tough talk, seeing it as a businessman’s no-nonsense strategy to make allies “pay their fair share.” But even from that perspective, his tactics backfired. Instead of strengthening America’s position, they alienated key allies, made coordination harder, and gave adversaries like Russia and China an opening to exploit divisions. Undermining trust within NATO doesn’t just hurt European partners — it weakens the very alliances that give the U.S. global leverage, intelligence sharing, and strategic reach without having to bear the burden alone. So even if someone dismisses NATO’s idealistic goals, it’s still a bad deal for America’s power and security.


Compiled with aid from ChatGPT


Sunday, April 6, 2025

Strategic Tariffs vs. Trump's Reckless Protectionism: A Guide to Effective Trade Policy

Tariffs, when used effectively, can serve as tools to protect domestic industries, promote economic growth, and negotiate better trade terms. However, misuse of tariffs—such as those that seem indiscriminate or overly punitive—can lead to unintended consequences like trade wars, higher prices for consumers, and strained international relations. Here's a breakdown of how tariffs should ideally be used versus how they've been used in some instances, like under Donald Trump's administration:


Compiled with aid of ChatGPT


Saturday, April 5, 2025

The High Stakes of Economic Disruption: An Examination of Trump’s Authoritarian Policy Gamble

I just came across Tanvi Ratna's (@tanvi_ratna) on "Trump’s new tariffs."

It's in bits on an X thread, but available on her Substack in its entirety. I'd suggest reading it there first and coming back. However, while she offers more attachments on X, it's in one long piece on Substack.

This Tanvi Ratna article contains valuable perspectives. Although it doesn't fully explore Donald Trump's current role in American politics, certainly not his major failings, which I find significant, I believe it's a worthwhile read and a starting point for further analysis.


While Tanvi Ratna’s analysis is sharp as economic modeling, it falls short when you factor in who Trump is, what he’s actually done in power, and where he’s taking the country politically. Here's where the article misses a bigger, much darker picture, although it touches upon it. 

To be fair, that wasn't her purpose in the analysis:

🔻 1. Assumes rational, strategic governance

Tanvi frames the tariffs and refinancing strategy as a deliberate, intelligent economic maneuver. But Trump’s record — especially as a malignant narcissist, convicted felon, and self-proclaimed “King of Debt” — shows he governs through impulse, grievance, and showmanship, not long-term planning. He's not running this show, obviously. His instincts are typically shallow, short-term (that's the Republican in him), autocratic and self-serving. Not technocratic or macroeconomic.

Where the analysis seems to go wrong:

It treats Trump’s economic actions like a well-crafted chess move, rather than the bludgeon of a man more interested in dominance and applause than sustainable policy.


🔻 2. Somewhat ignores the darker political intent behind economic moves

Trump’s use of tariffs, deficits, and tax cuts isn’t just tools for managing debt — they’re tools to consolidate power, reward loyalists, punish enemies, and hollow out the administrative state. Project 2025, the Heritage Foundation’s playbook he’s backing, makes that clear. When the two meet in his efforts, and something benefits America, all the better for him. But he often does things with no benefit to America, actually detrimental, and yet, he does them anyway. After his POTUS45 stint, he's learned to acquire more "Yesmen" (and women) to surround him.

Where it goes wrong:

It views the economy in isolation, without tying it to Trump’s broader authoritarian project — which includes purging civil servants, politicizing the Fed, and dismantling checks and balances.


🔻 3. Minimizes the oligarchic shift

The focus is on how tariffs and capital flows could hypothetically create “fiscal room” — but in practice, Trump’s policies overwhelmingly benefit billionaires while wage growth stagnates, unions are attacked, and the middle class foots the inflation bill. This is classic oligarchic capture.

Where it goes wrong:

It underestimates how Trump’s economic “reset” actually feeds into a plutocratic system — concentrating wealth and power at the top under the guise of nationalism.


🔻 4. Overstates institutional stability

The proposed model depends on key institutions (the Treasury, Fed, Congress, global markets) responding normally to Trump’s maneuvers. But Trump has already shown a willingness to undermine those institutions, and his second-term agenda includes deconstructing the federal government.

Where it goes wrong:

It is forecasting in a vacuum, as if Trump isn’t trying to break the very systems her models rely on.


🔻 5. Treats debt strategy as smart policy, not financial gaslighting

Trump bragged about using debt as a tool to extract leverage — even suggested the U.S. could default or renegotiate. He’s not trying to stabilize the debt market; he’s using it to game short-term optics while destabilizing long-term fiscal reality.

Where it goes wrong:

It interprets a reckless gamble as a coherent strategy — mistaking chaos for control.


🧨 Bottom Line:

Tanvi’s thread is an elegant model of economic cause-and-effect — but it fails to acknowledge that the person pulling these levers is Donald J. Trump, not a responsible policymaker. 

That’s like assuming a demolition crew is doing renovation work just because they’re using a hammer.

OK, so here is her analysis, not so much over-focused on economics, but sharp nonetheless. We as readers have to remember to always keep in the forefront, Trump's illiberal and oligarchic (and kakistrocratic) efforts all along the way. There are several games being played here. I'd suggest reading it there first and coming back.

https://tanviratna.substack.com/p/trumps-tariff-gambit-debt-power-and

While she does say:

"But the risks are equally stark. If inflation spirals, if trade wars escalate uncontrollably, if voters rebel against higher costs, the consequences could be severe: economic instability, political defeats, and a severely weakened global position.

"This is disruption as doctrine: calculated, deliberate, and unafraid of risk. It is quintessential Trump—bold, divisive, strategic. The margin for error is razor-thin, yet the rewards could redefine America’s trajectory for a generation."

While she acknowledges these things, it is too little too late as she ignores Trump's forever dark, under-the-surface, illiberal, at times illegal, and always confidence-grifting intentions. While some Americans who support Trump say that's liberal nonsense, just ask those running other countries who are not liberal (I'm excluding here international criminals and autocrats, and despots who love Trump as much as he does them).

The discussion surrounding Trump's economic policies presents a complex view, heavily centered on potential benefits while often glossing over the associated risks and negative implications. Trump's approach is characterized by an ambitious attempt to reboot America's economic and geopolitical foundations, aiming for an economically resilient and geopolitically stronger nation by the pivotal 2026 elections. This perspective highlights substantial expected gains, such as reduced fiscal burdens and invigorated domestic manufacturing due to tariffs that aim to reshape industrial incentives.

However, this focus on positive outcomes can lead to a skewed representation, as significant risks lurk beneath the surface. These include the repercussions of rising inflation, retaliatory trade actions, and potential political fallout from voters experiencing immediate costs associated with these economic strategies. Critics argue that without tangible short-term results and persuasive communication about the benefits of sacrifices, voters might perceive tariffs as detrimental rather than advantageous.

Moreover, while Trump's strategies are painted as calculated moves to enhance America's position, they inherently carry the risk of economic instability and political vulnerabilities, particularly among sectors that depend on cheap imports. In essence, while the narrative may lean positively towards the ambitious economic outlook, it risks underplaying the substantial uncertainties and potential adverse consequences that accompany such drastic policies. This balance—or lack thereof—may be a point of contention in evaluations of Trump's legacy and intention.


I have no such compunction about remaining neutral about Trump. He is a threat, pure and simple. However, we need to see clearly what is being done, and Tanvi Ratna's assessment, within the scope of what she is detailing, is useful to have a clearer picture of what may, or could, happen.

The provided context does not explicitly address Donald Trump's authoritarian orientation. However, it does discuss his unconventional approach to governance and economic policy, which can intersect with themes of authoritarianism. 

For example, Trump's strategy is characterized by a deliberate disruption of existing norms and a willingness to leverage economic policy as a form of geopolitical power, suggesting a pivot away from traditional democratic engagement in favor of a more assertive stance.

Additionally, the narrative indicates that Trump's policies are designed with the intention of reshaping both domestic and international economic landscapes, often sidestepping established alliances and norms, which can be seen as an authoritarian tendency to assert unilateral control. Furthermore, the urgency of his economic agenda, particularly as it pertains to the upcoming 2026 midterms, suggests a focus on consolidating power within his political base through calculated risks, which aligns with authoritarian tactics that prioritize control over consensus.

While these elements imply a propensity towards an authoritative style in policy implementation, the texts mainly emphasize economic strategies rather than directly critique or define Trump's political orientation as authoritarian. Thus, further context would be necessary to evaluate that aspect more comprehensively. 

Trump's economic policies reflect authoritarian tendencies in his governance style through a deliberate disruption of established norms and an assertive approach to policy implementation. His administration's strategy is characterized by a focused ambition to reboot America's economic and geopolitical frameworks, suggesting a move towards unilateral control in various aspects of governance.

For instance, Trump's use of tariffs is not merely an economic tool but also a geopolitical lever, where the imposition of tariffs is framed as part of a broader agenda to reshape global alliances and trade systems. This approach can reflect authoritarian tendencies as it aims to enforce compliance and reshape international relationships without the traditional diplomatic engagement seen in past administrations.

Moreover, Trump's willingness to "manufacture uncertainty" (as well as fear and intimidation) through sudden economic shifts, such as tariffs, serves as a method to redirect capital and influence market behaviors, which can be interpreted as a tactic of control reminiscent of authoritarian governance. By leveraging economic policies to exert geopolitical power, Trump embodies a style that prioritizes calculated risks and assertive maneuvers over collaborative approaches typical of democratic processes.

I've detailed his emotional, mental, and personality pathologies over time, as have his niece, Mary Trump, a retired psychologist, and many other professionals.

Additionally, the urgency behind his economic agenda, particularly as it aligns with the approaching 2026 midterms, signals a focus on consolidating power within his political base, often at the expense of broader consensus. This reflects an authoritarian inclination to prioritize loyalty and control over inclusive decision-making processes. I've shared blogs just this past week on these issues.

While the context primarily emphasizes economic strategies, these elements imply a governance style that leans towards authoritarianism, as it engages in reshaping both domestic and international landscapes with a focus on power consolidation and disruption of established norms.

Trump's approach to economic policy marked a significant departure from previous administrations in several key ways, particularly in its reliance on disruption as a deliberate strategy. Unlike prior administrations that often adhered to established economic norms and diplomatic engagements, Trump's policies were characterized by a "wholesale reboot" of America's economic and geopolitical foundations. 

This ambitious strategy sought to reshape the global economic landscape, moving away from traditional trade alliances and norms built over decades, effectively dismantling the post-Cold War international order in favor of more unilateral action and negotiation tactics that emphasized leveraging economic policy as a form of geopolitical power.

One major difference was Trump's implementation of sweeping tariffs, which he described not merely as protective measures but as tools for active global negotiations. The intent was to force a fairer global trade system and reshape international relationships, leveraging tariffs as bargaining chips in bilateral talks. This approach contrasts starkly with previous efforts that typically emphasized multilateral negotiations and cooperation, reflecting a tendency towards authoritarianism where unilateral control supersedes collaborative engagement.

Additionally, Trump's aforementioned methods, including "manufacturing uncertainty" through sudden economic shifts, paradoxically could serve as an asset to redirect investment towards U.S. Treasury bonds and away from speculative markets. This tactic underscores a strategic approach that prioritizes controlling economic outcomes rather than fostering democratic consensus or stability, creating a political climate where fear of the unknown becomes a lever for governance.

The implications for democratic governance are profound. By focusing on short-term gains and the consolidation of power within his political base, Trump's economic strategy risks fostering an environment where policy decisions are made without broader consensus, potentially undermining the participatory frameworks essential to democratic governance. 

Voter responses that prioritize immediate economic feelings over abstract theories could further threaten political stability if the short-term pains of policy shifts are not communicated and justified effectively. Thus, Trump's approach not only represents a shift in economic policy but also indicates a potentially transformative impact on the principles of democratic engagement.

As I have contended since Donald Trump first ran for president in the 2016 election, I don't have an issue with "fixing" America; we all want that when we find issues. Rather, I have an issue with the man who is claiming he is the only one who could fix things, or that he has the intellectual or ethical nature to do so.

Donald Trump is a "thug", a bully. Pure and simple. A "Mob" boss. A business-oriented career charlatan, and conman if not a career criminal. A convicted felon. An adjudicated sexual abuser. His lack of moral character has tarnished and damaged America and its citizens, which will last for decades. He's the wrong man for the job, even if it's the right job. 

The damages he has already done will take decades to recover from, and the economic gamble he is utilizing to do all the things mentioned above has the potential to easily tip over the most powerful and richest nation in human history.

All to satiate one man's desires and needs. We're better than that. We always have been. But he and the Republican Party, now his Party, lock, stock, and barrel, are proving we no longer are. And it is ruining our relationship with our friends around the world. While cementing his situation with our enemies for now, and after he leaves office. Which he's already indicated he thinks he can get around our strictures of any one president staying longer than he is welcome.

As for this economic policy, let's remember that because Trump was elected in 2016, there was no Republican Party platform, no economic policy. It took him a while, but he has now situated himself in a position where he believes he can do whatever he pleases. And so far, his Party is supporting that.

Only this past week have we seen that facade buckle and begin to break as people become more aware of who and what he really is. Amazing as that is, that anyone in America still has not seen that painfully clearly and reacted strongly against him.

We're not done yet. But neither is he.

Compiled with aid of ChatGPT and MyReader

Wednesday, April 2, 2025

Trump's ERS Dead in the Water, Like Trump

I'm so bored with clickbait guy in our White House. 

FYI. No. We're not replacing IRS with ERS, External Revenue Service, and tariffs. It's clickbait.

Who the Hell elected this guy? Jesus Wept...Putin Grins...along with Trump oligarchs and apparently a vast and ever growing kakistocracy.


Trump announced his intention to create an "External Revenue Service" (ERS) during his inauguration speech on January 20, 2025. The ERS is intended to collect tariffs, duties, and other revenues from foreign sources, aiming to shift the U.S. revenue system away from income taxes. ​


Following this announcement, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick stated that the administration's goal is to abolish the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) and replace federal income taxes with revenue generated from tariffs. ​

Economists have expressed skepticism about the feasibility of this plan, noting that tariffs currently generate a small fraction of federal revenue and that relying solely on tariffs could lead to increased consumer prices and economic challenges. ​

Trump has proposed the creation of the ERS to replace the IRS and eliminate income taxes, but this plan faces significant economic and political obstacles.​

This idea is economically unworkable and largely nonsense. 

Here’s why:

  1. Tariffs Cannot Replace Income Tax Revenue – The U.S. federal government collects over $4.5 trillion annually in revenue, with over 50% coming from income taxes. Tariffs currently bring in only about $80 billion per year—a tiny fraction of what would be needed. Raising tariffs high enough to replace income tax would make imported goods unaffordable, hurt American businesses, and spark trade wars.

  2. Who Pays Tariffs? – Tariffs are not paid by foreign countries; they are paid by American consumers and businesses that import goods. So, instead of income tax, Americans would just be paying higher prices for everything, making this an indirect tax rather than a true abolition of taxation.

  3. Economic Consequences – Eliminating income tax while shifting entirely to tariffs would cripple the economy by:

    • Increasing costs for consumers (inflation).

    • Hurting businesses that rely on imported goods.

    • Causing retaliation from other countries with tariffs on U.S. exports, harming American industries like agriculture and manufacturing.

    • Creating massive budget deficits since tariffs wouldn’t generate nearly enough revenue to fund government services, including the military, Social Security, Medicare, and infrastructure.

  4. Political Impossibility – Even if Trump proposed this, it would require Congressional approval, which is extremely unlikely given the chaos it would cause.

This is classic clickbait populism—throwing out a radical-sounding idea that plays well with anti-tax rhetoric but has no basis in economic reality.

Compiled with aid of ChatGPT



Saturday, March 15, 2025

Manufacturing Nostalgia: Why Trump's Industrial Revival Is an Economic Illusion

 How do we explain Trump’s push to make America a manufacturing country again when we long planned to be a service economy—and automation is set to take most manufacturing jobs anyway?

Trump’s push to "make America a manufacturing powerhouse again" is based on nostalgia for an era that no longer exists rather than economic reality. Here’s why:

  1. The U.S. Shifted to a Service Economy for a Reason

    • Since the late 20th century, the U.S. intentionally transitioned to a service-based economy (finance, tech, healthcare, entertainment) because manufacturing labor is cheaper overseas and services generate more wealth in a developed nation.
    • Manufacturing jobs peaked in the 1970s and have steadily declined, not just because of outsourcing, but also because of automation and efficiency improvements.
  2. Manufacturing Jobs Aren't Coming Back in Large Numbers

    • Even when Trump imposed tariffs to bring back U.S. manufacturing, companies didn’t massively rehire workers—instead, they invested in automation to keep costs low.
    • The industries that did return (like steel) saw only short-term gains, and many of those jobs disappeared again due to trade wars and global competition.
  3. Robots and AI Are the Future of Manufacturing

    • Even if factories return, they won’t create millions of blue-collar jobs—they’ll use automation, AI, and robotics to cut labor costs.
    • Example: Modern car plants use a fraction of the workers they did decades ago, with robots doing much of the assembly work.
  4. The Real Economic Future Is in Innovation, Not Nostalgia

    • The strongest job growth today is in AI, software development, healthcare, and renewable energy, not traditional factory work.
    • If the goal is long-term economic strength, focusing on education, R&D, and advanced technology makes more sense than trying to recreate a 1950s-style industrial economy.
Trump's "manufacturing revival" is mostly a political slogan that appeals to nostalgia but ignores economic reality. The real battle isn’t bringing back old factory jobs—it’s preparing for a future where automation and AI dominate.

Even if President Trump achieves favorable outcomes in his trade disputes, the broader consequences may include increased consumer prices, economic growth challenges, and strained international relations.

While intended to protect domestic industries, tariffs often lead to higher costs for imported goods, which can be passed on to consumers. This results in increased prices for everyday items, affecting household budgets.

Furthermore, trade tensions can disrupt global supply chains, leading to reduced efficiency and higher production costs for businesses. This economic uncertainty may dampen investment and slow overall economic growth.

The imposition of tariffs has also led to retaliatory measures from trading partners, affecting U.S. exports and potentially resulting in job losses in export-dependent industries. Studies have estimated significant job losses due to these trade policies.

Even if specific trade disputes are resolved favorably, the broader implications of such protectionist policies may include economic challenges, higher consumer prices, and strained international relationships.

FYI, there have been multiple reports of attacks on Tesla dealerships and vehicles in recent months. These incidents appear to be part of a broader protest movement against Tesla's CEO, Elon Musk, particularly in response to his political affiliations and actions within the Trump administration.


America should be moving toward a future-focused economy that prioritizes innovation, adaptability, and workforce development rather than clinging to outdated industrial models. Here’s the ideal direction:

1. Embrace Automation & AI—But Prepare the Workforce

  • Instead of resisting automation, we should invest in AI and robotics while ensuring workers are trained for high-tech jobs in maintenance, programming, and oversight.
  • Expand vocational training, apprenticeships, and STEM education to help workers transition from traditional manufacturing to advanced tech fields.

2. Strengthen the Service & Knowledge Economy

  • The biggest drivers of economic growth are healthcare, software, AI, finance, biotech, and renewable energy—sectors that require skilled labor and continuous innovation.
  • Investing in education, R&D, and digital infrastructure will keep America competitive.

3. Reshore Critical Industries, But Smartly

  • Instead of forcing mass manufacturing back, focus on reshoring key industries (like semiconductors, green energy, and medical supplies) using automation and high-skilled labor to remain cost-effective.
  • Partner with allies and trading partners to ensure supply chain security without unnecessary trade wars.

4. Prioritize Green Energy & Sustainability

  • The future economy will be shaped by renewable energy, battery technology, and climate adaptation industries—not coal and oil.
  • Investing in solar, wind, and electric vehicles creates sustainable, high-paying jobs and reduces dependence on foreign energy sources.

5. Support Small Businesses & Entrepreneurship

  • Rather than just propping up mega-corporations, policies should make it easier for startups and small businesses to thrive through better access to funding, reduced red tape, and fairer tax policies.
  • Encourage innovation by incentivizing research, patents, and new tech development.

6. Improve Infrastructure & Digital Connectivity

  • A modern economy needs modern infrastructure—high-speed internet, updated transportation systems, and smart cities.
  • Expanding broadband to rural areas ensures that economic growth isn’t limited to major metropolitan hubs.

The Bottom Line

America shouldn’t try to recreate a 1950s-style economy but instead prepare for a tech-driven, globally connected future. The focus should be on innovation, adaptability, and workforce development—not outdated nostalgia.


Compiled with aid of ChatGPT


Tuesday, February 4, 2025

America's Slide Into MaGA/Oligarchy: Bully Trump's Tariff Wars & His Growing Billionaire Influence

Let's be clear. Donald Trump, albeit now CFPOTUS47 (America's 1st convicted felon POTUS), is a punk and a bully: A "punk" and a "bully" are often considered similar because they both represent aggressive, disruptive behavior, but a key difference is that a "punk" is typically seen as someone who picks on weaker individuals while trying to appear tough, while a "bully" can target anyone, regardless of perceived strength, often using power dynamics to intimidate and control others; essentially, a punk might be considered a smaller-scale bully, focusing on more localized acts of harassment. 

What proof is there that there is now more embarrassment and humiliation of Convicted Felon CFPOTUS47 Donald Trump being president than there are positive feelings by his MaGA supporters?

"The Logic of Destruction - And how to resist it" (audio) - Timothy Snyder

Institutions Under Assault Will Not Deliver for Americans
Russell Muirhead and Nancy L. Rosenblum

Proud flag of those against their own best interests & others

By the way...I spent time years ago blogging about how the (seemingly earned) humiliation and punishment of Germany after WWI helped fuel WWII—and how we should avoid repeating that ...mistake.We now have Palestinians who have faced decades of displacement and oppression and...here we are.

America does not elect actual and convicted criminals as POTUS. Except now, we actually do as autocracy, Oligarchy, and  Kakistocracy are all what? BETTER than Democracy? That my friends, is the mindset of the mentally, socially, emotionally ILL. Follow and elected a malignant narcissist, a mentally and emotionally unbalanced individual like Donald Trump, and you get what you asked for. Damage. Harmed citizens. Death. 

I'd said in 2016 that if Trump were elected, you'd better HOPE we don't have a national disaster under him...and then we had two.

After the criminal POTUS45 administration, which I'd labeled America's first "Little Bitch POTUS admin", I'd said Trump was responsible for the death of at least 100,000 citizens due to his handling of COVID-19. Trump's own, Secretary of Homeland Security Gen. John Kelly, has said Trump was responsible for 200,000 citizens deaths due to mishandling of COVID-19. 

(Timothy Snyder on electing Convicted Felon Donald Trump & on the "Strongman Fantasy": Quite a few [ignorant/foolish] Americans like the idea of strongman rule. And now we have a president... who vows to persecute the enemy within, and who has [nominated] a cabinet that seems designed to overturn a republic. What’s wrong with that, ask many? Why not a dictator who will get things done?)


And what about Elon Musk's Guru who said in 2014 that America needs to..."get over and get used to having a dictator"? Elon who is invasive into our government now, who was NOT elected to do most of what he's doing in his ridiculous DOGE Trump department? As Trump tries to dismantle the FBI and other departments.

There isn’t a single definitive "proof" of this claim, but several indicators suggest that Trump's potential presidency (CFPOTUS 47) could bring more embarrassment and humiliation than positive feelings, even among some conservatives. 

Here’s how one might assess it:

1. Election Performance & Popularity Metrics

  • 2020 Loss: Trump lost the popular vote in both 2016 and 2020. If there were overwhelming positive support, he wouldn’t have lost in a record turnout election.
  • 2024 Polling Struggles: While Trump leads in some swing state polls, he remains deeply unpopular nationwide. His net approval rating has consistently been negative since he left office.
  • Biden vs. Trump Favorability: Despite Biden’s weaknesses, national polls still show Trump is more disliked than liked by the general electorate.

2. Criminal Charges & Scandals

  • Trump is the first former U.S. president to be criminally indicted 91 times across four separate cases. No modern world leader has ever faced such legal trouble while running for office.
  • Court cases in New York, Georgia, Florida, and D.C. have led to humiliating revelations about his finances, hush money payments, election interference, and mishandling of classified documents.
  • Even Fox News and right-wing media have expressed concerns that these scandals make him unelectable.

3. GOP & Conservative Figures Distancing Themselves

  • Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, and Mike Pence—all former allies—have openly criticized Trump’s leadership, electability, and moral fitness for office.
  • The Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025 is preparing for a Trump-like presidency, but they don’t necessarily trust Trump himself. They want a more disciplined version of his policies.
  • Republican donors like the Koch network have tried to back alternative candidates, indicating hesitation about his return.

4. Public & Media Mockery

  • Saturday Night Live, late-night shows, and comedians consistently use Trump as a source of ridicule. His bizarre rants about whales, sharks, Hannibal Lecter, and batteries have fueled viral memes.
  • The phrase “Trump's Cognitive Decline” has been trending more frequently, even among conservatives, due to his increasing verbal mistakes and confusion in speeches.
  • His own MAGA supporters sometimes laugh at him. Example: At a rally, he confused Obama and Biden multiple times, causing chuckles even from the crowd.

5. MAGA Base Shrinking & Growing Fatigue

  • Trump rallies are not as packed as they used to be—a sign of dwindling enthusiasm.
  • "Trump Fatigue" is a real thing, even among some MAGA supporters who feel exhausted by the never-ending drama and legal issues.
  • Polling among independent voters shows a clear rejection of Trump, which is crucial for winning in 2024.

Conclusion

While hardcore MAGA supporters still adore Trump, the broader public—including independents and even some conservatives—views his return as chaotic, embarrassing, and legally fraught. The GOP itself is torn, with many preferring Trump’s policies but not his scandals. The weight of indictments, gaffes, and political baggage suggests that a second Trump term would bring more national and international humiliation than genuine triumph.

What about polls, concerns over Trump attacking Canada and Mexico, and others with threats of tariff wars?

Recent developments indicate significant concern over President Donald Trump's imposition of tariffs on Canada and Mexico, with public opinion reflecting apprehension about potential economic repercussions.

Public Opinion on Tariffs

A recent poll indicates that 51% of respondents oppose President Trump's tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China. This opposition underscores widespread unease about the potential economic impact of such trade policies.

Economic Concerns

The tariffs have sparked panic and anger in Canada and Mexico, with economists predicting disruptions in supply chains, inflation, and job losses in all three countries. There is a potential for Canada and Mexico to enter recessions due to these measures.

Market Reactions

Global stock markets have reacted negatively to the tariffs, with significant declines observed in the US, Europe, and Asia. Major indices such as Germany's DAX, France's CAC, and the UK's FTSE 100 experienced drops of over 1%. In the US, the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures indicated declines between 1% and 2%.

These developments highlight the contentious nature of the tariffs and the concerns they raise among the public and economic experts.


It sounds more like Trump is acting the bully to other countries, getting responses from Canada and Mexico for 1,000s of troops to the borders, and threatening Canada he wants them as our 51st state when we clearly have protectorates who are decades in line for statehood first. 

Trump ridiculous imperial expansionism is also denigrating America's reputation worldwide. It's bad enough simply having him as our chief representative around the world has humiliated US.

In an effort to address issues such as illegal immigration and drug trafficking, President Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on goods from Canada and Mexico. In response, both countries have agreed to deploy 10,000 troops each to their respective U.S. borders to enhance security measures.

Annexation Remarks and Canadian Response

Further escalating tensions, President Trump suggested that Canada should become the 51st state of the United States. This proposal was met with strong opposition from Canadian officials and citizens. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau labeled the suggestion as a distraction from the tariff dispute, emphasizing Canada's sovereignty and rejecting the notion of annexation.

Public Sentiment in Canada

The combination of tariff threats and annexation remarks has led to a surge of anti-American sentiment in Canada. Many Canadians are boycotting American products, canceling trips to the U.S., and promoting local goods as acts of patriotism. Social media campaigns advocating for the boycott of U.S. products have gained momentum, reflecting the public's discontent with the current U.S. administration's policies.

Conclusion

CFPOTUS 47 Trump's recent actions and statements have strained relationships with Canada and Mexico, leading to significant diplomatic challenges and public backlash. The situation underscores the importance of careful diplomatic engagement with neighboring countries.

Trump is a bully, that's not up for dispute. 

Then there is his oligarch issue, one that AOC has said we are fully in the midst of, not the beginning of.

Her observation aligns with concerns expressed by various political figures and analysts regarding the concentration of wealth and power in the United States. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) has been vocal about the nation's shift towards oligarchy. In a recent statement, she emphasized that the U.S. is not merely approaching oligarchy but is already experiencing it, highlighting the significant influence of billionaires on politics and policy.

This perspective is supported by studies indicating that economic elites and organized business interests have substantial impacts on U.S. government policy, often outweighing the preferences of average citizens. A notable 2014 study by political scientists Martin Gilens and Benjamin Page found that the U.S. political system favors the interests of the wealthy and powerful, leading to policy outcomes that do not necessarily reflect the desires of the broader population.

Former President Jimmy Carter also described the United States as an "oligarchy with unlimited political bribery," pointing to the pervasive influence of money in politics.

These assessments suggest that the U.S. has moved beyond the initial stages of oligarchy, with wealth and power increasingly concentrated among a small segment of the population, thereby diminishing the influence of the average citizen in political processes.

For a more in-depth perspective, this discussion may (or may not) be informative:

Let's not forget this, how CFPOTUS47 is dismantling our DOJ because they tried and mostly failed to hold him accountable for his Jan. 6 insurrection and so much more...

Recent actions by President Donald Trump have raised significant concerns about attempts to undermine the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). The administration has initiated the dismissal of prosecutors involved in the January 6 investigations and is moving toward ousting FBI agents associated with these cases.

Our crippled Department of Justice (DOJ) has terminated several senior FBI officials and demanded a list of personnel involved in the January 6 Capitol attack investigation, indicating potential further dismissals. Experts describe these actions as unprecedented, noting that mass firings for participation in an investigation are unheard of. Such measures could compromise the FBI's effectiveness in critical areas like counterterrorism and threaten the agency's independence.

In response, the FBI Agents Association, representing over 14,000 current and former agents, has appealed to Congress to protect employees facing punishment or termination due to their involvement in the January 6 investigations. The association's letter to lawmakers expressed concerns that these actions might jeopardize agents' careers and disrupt essential Bureau operations.

Critics argue that these moves undermine the rule of law and resemble tactics seen in authoritarian regimes, where governmental agencies are purged of individuals deemed disloyal. This situation has sparked a broader debate about the future of democratic norms and the independence of federal institutions in the United States.

For a more in-depth analysis, you might find this discussion informative:


Best of luck to us all...


Compiled with aid of ChatGPT