What Category of Russian Asset IS Donald Trump? Yes, "Useful Idiot" Or Other...He Most Definitely IS One.

Is Trump a Russian asset? There is NO question about this. While he's not "run" by Russia, he clearly is in a state of always wanting to please Vladimir Putin. That's enough. At worst he is a direct asset, at least he is a "Useful Idiot", as he has proven time and time again.

Donald Trump is not a very educated, or very smart man. He is however a clever con man. The two are not the same.

The confusion comes in that he WAS once very well "educated" as a verb, but not very well educated as an adverb. On the one hand, "educated" as an adjective describes a state—you are then educated once you have undergone that process and acquired knowledge or skills.

When I was in university, I knew students who coasted through school, while I was studying nearly every second of every day. I entered higher education after serving in the military, so I was a bit older and more mature than most of my peers. I was using my VA benefits and felt a strong sense of obligation to make the most of those public funds. I was confident that I would leave with a better education than many of my friends. While some seemed to barely study, party often, and still had a natural brilliance that would serve them well after college, they were few and far between. As for the others, I knew some would struggle in the business world, while others, like Trump, seemed to fail upward, as if luck followed them around.

I was rewarded with my psychology department adviser once telling me that I was one of the top 10% of the top 10% of all psychology undergrads at any university. I questioned him on that, thinking he was just being nice. But he thought for a moment and then replied that he believed he was being very accurate in his assessment. Rough calculations on that offer being a part of 3,750 students. While that may be a lot, it's a nice group to be grouped within. And not the greater number of 337,500 psychology university students.

I only mention that to say, while I was tested at a higher than normal IQ, I'm no genius. I worked very hard for my education. To clarify that, my grades might not reflect it in you check my transcript. I remember thinking about that one day at university. I realized I could get an "A" on a paper, or I could instead get a lower grade but learn a lot more (that's the case, I won't bother here to justify the correctness of that). I took the education and knowledge over the better grade. After graduating no one ever checked my grades, just that I had the degree. I felt I made the correct decision.

Acquiring a university degree does not make one smart. You have to choose to do that. If you feel you are coasting, you're not trying hard enough. When you think you're at your limits, you're on the right path. Challenge yourself. Push your limits. I was always talking to my professors, mining their minds for all I could. Asking for more work. Taking the harder road to learn as much as possible. 

Trump, I am confident in saying, never did that. Just to talk to him you can see that is clear. No one ever said that about me after a conversation. 

One MUST maintain one's college degree over one's lifetime. Which Trump has never done. Because he's a narcissist and a very lazy man when it comes to intellectual pursuits. See, narcissists don't need to maintain or increase their perceived "brilliance" or "genius", because to them it's inherent. Trump's mind is akin to an over-ripened Durian fruit no one wanted. 

Where Trump stumbles into his ignorance being exposed, he avoids, feigns competence, deflects, misdirects, answers with a question or questions the questioner (or attacks the veracity of the questioner), manipulates, bullies, dissembles, tangents off from, obfuscates, minimizes, or lies. Or find a way to agree with the other person, in such a way so as to appear to be correct, only in a tangential, often ridiculous way, where often, people are so uncomfortable they merely wish for the situation to end and to move onto something, anything, else. 

People like Trump rely on that uncomfortableness. He also enjoys power abuse, which is another issue entirely (i.e., saying he was and doing it, brushing off "dandruff" from the shoulders of the President of France, a disgusting display of narcissistic abuse or power manipulation, humiliating power play, or dominance display. Putrid, small men do this who wish to appear powerful. It is not presidential. But when you're leader of the most powerful and richest country in the history of the world, what are others supposed to do to correct this type of bad behavior. Yeah, it's a trap. Like Trump abusing shaking hards obnoxiously, and pulling people into him. Something those of larger physical stature do when they are bullies.

The term "Russian asset" in espionage refers to individuals or entities that serve the interests of Russian intelligence agencies by providing information, influence, or support. In the case of former U.S. President Donald Trump, there is no definitive evidence to classify him as a Russian asset in the traditional espionage sense. However, his actions and associations have led to extensive scrutiny and debate regarding his relationship with Russia.

Associations and Financial Ties:

• Business Dealings: Trump's business activities have included dealings with entities linked to Russia. For instance, Deutsche Bank, which provided Trump with substantial loans, was implicated in facilitating Russian money laundering schemes. Trump's son, Donald Jr., remarked in 2008 that "Russians make up a pretty disproportionate cross-section of a lot of our assets."

  Wikipedia

• Campaign Connections: Investigations have revealed interactions between Trump associates and Russian officials during the 2016 presidential campaign. Notably, Paul Manafort, Trump's campaign chairman, had ties to Konstantin Kilimnik, alleged to be a Russian intelligence officer.

  Wikipedia

Public Perceptions and Claims:

• Some commentators have suggested that Trump's actions align with those expected of a Russian asset, citing his favorable stance toward Russia and President Vladimir Putin. For example, an article in Foreign Policy posited that Trump's behavior mirrors that of a Russian asset.

  Foreign Policy

• Conversely, fact-checking efforts have debunked specific claims, such as allegations that Trump was recruited by the KGB in the 1980s under the codename "Krasnov." These claims lack credible evidence.

  Euronews

While Donald Trump's actions and associations with Russian entities have raised questions about his relationship with Russia, there is no conclusive evidence to label him as a Russian asset in the espionage context. The available information suggests a complex interplay of business interests, political interactions, and public perceptions, but it does not substantiate claims of espionage or covert allegiance.

an asset doesn't necessarily have to be directly recruited by a foreign intelligence service to be considered a "useful asset" in espionage. The key point is whether the actions of that individual or entity benefit the interests of the country in question—in this case, Russia—regardless of direct involvement in espionage activities. Based on that, Donald Trump's actions and positions can be analyzed from a broader perspective to see how they could be interpreted as benefiting Russian interests, even if there’s no direct proof of him being a Russian spy.

Potential "Asset" Traits:

1. Favorable Rhetoric Toward Russia and Putin:

   • Throughout his presidency and beyond, Trump often expressed admiration for Russian President Vladimir Putin. His reluctance to criticize Putin, even in the face of accusations of Russian interference in U.S. elections and aggression in Ukraine, could be seen as aligning with Russian interests.
   • For example, his comments like, "I don’t see any reason why it would be Russia", when questioned about Russia's interference in the 2016 election, were controversial and raised concerns about his stance on Russian actions.

2. Foreign Policy Decisions:

   • Trump’s foreign policy was seen by some as favorable to Russian interests. His decisions, such as withdrawing from the Paris Agreement, weakening NATO, and suggesting that the U.S. should reduce its commitments to the alliance, were viewed as aligning with Russia's goal of weakening Western unity.
   • His attempts to warm relations with Russia, including meetings with Putin, were perceived as potentially beneficial for Russia’s global position.

3. Business Ties with Russia:

   • Trump had numerous business ties to Russian entities, especially through his real estate dealings. The Trump Organization explored projects in Russia, though none materialized during his presidency, leading some to argue that Trump’s reluctance to challenge Russia could be influenced by potential business interests.
   • The claim by his son, Donald Jr., in 2008, that "Russians make up a pretty disproportionate cross-section of a lot of our assets" suggests that there were significant financial ties that may have been considered beneficial to Russian interests.

4. Public Perception and Influence:

   • Some analysts have argued that Trump’s divisive rhetoric, which often undermined democratic institutions and supported populist causes, played into Russian strategies to create instability in Western democracies.
   • His support for far-right movements, and skepticism about liberal democracies and NATO, could be seen as unwittingly helping Russian efforts to weaken these institutions and advance its geopolitical goals.

5. Cybersecurity and Election Interference:

   • The Russian government's interference in the 2016 U.S. presidential election through hacking and disinformation campaigns was widely recognized as an effort to benefit Trump’s candidacy. While Trump himself wasn’t directly involved in the hacking, his victory (and the narrative of Russian support for him) helped sow division in the U.S. political system, benefiting Russian interests.
   • Trump's dismissiveness of the investigations into Russian interference, combined with his public statements questioning the legitimacy of U.S. intelligence agencies, helped cast doubt on the U.S. government's response to Russian actions.

If we look at the broader concept of what makes someone an asset in espionage—being someone whose actions or positions benefit the foreign power’s interests—then Donald Trump’s rhetoric, policy decisions, and business connections can certainly be interpreted as beneficial to Russian objectives. While there's no definitive evidence that he was knowingly acting as a "Russian agent" or that he was directly influenced by Russian intelligence agencies, his actions during his presidency and beyond have consistently aligned with Russian strategic interests, making him, in the eyes of some, a kind of unwitting asset.

This perspective doesn't require a direct line of accountability or recruitment by Russian intelligence, but rather a view that his actions indirectly served Russian goals on the global stage.

Analyzing former U.S. President Donald Trump's actions through the lens of benefiting Vladimir Putin involves assessing both direct and indirect influences over varying timeframes. While definitive evidence of covert collaboration is lacking, several actions during Trump's tenure suggest alignment with Russian interests.

Near-Term Benefits (2017–2021):

1. Policy Decisions Favoring Russia:

   • NATO Relations: Trump's expressed desire to reintegrate Russia into the G7, stating, "I’d love to have them back," was seen as a move that could benefit Putin's global standing.
     Politico Europe
   • Ukraine Conflict: Trump's attempts to broker peace in Ukraine often leaned towards Russian interests, with his proposed ceasefire plans being dismissed by Putin as insufficient.
     BILD

2. Business Connections:

   • Russian Investments: Despite Trump's claims of no financial interests in Russia, investigations revealed that Russian individuals invested at least $98 million in Trump-branded properties in southern Florida.
     Reuters
   • Real Estate Dealings: In 2008, Trump sold a Palm Beach mansion to Russian billionaire Dmitry Rybolovlev for $95 million, nearly double his purchase price, highlighting significant financial ties.
     Eric Swalwell

Distant Benefits (Pre-Presidency):

1. Financial Rescues:

   • In the 1990s, facing financial difficulties, Trump received investments from Russian oligarchs, which helped stabilize his business ventures.
     Foreign Policy

2. Business Endeavors:

   • Trump's 2013 Miss Universe pageant in Moscow and ongoing efforts to establish a Trump Tower in Moscow indicate longstanding business interests in Russia.
     Politico

Far-Distant Benefits (Post-Presidency):

1. Policy Continuity:

   • Post-presidency, Trump continued to express favorable views towards Putin, suggesting a sustained alignment with Russian interests.
     NPR

2. Asset Seizure and Enforcement Actions:

   • The dissolution of the KleptoCapture task force, initiated under Trump, led to the auctioning of the Russian-owned superyacht Amadea, reducing government maintenance costs.
     Financial Times

While these actions suggest a pattern of behavior that aligns with Russian interests, it's important to note that correlation does not imply direct causation. There is no conclusive evidence that Trump acted as an agent of Russia or that his actions were part of a coordinated effort to serve Russian strategic objectives. Nonetheless, the consistency of certain actions and policies during his tenure has led to discussions about the potential benefits they may have provided to Putin and Russia.

Extras...

Here's Why Putin Could 'Hand Trump A Win' And Agree To Ceasefire Deal With Ukraine: Analyst

Who the f**k taught Donald Trump about the Alien Enemies Act of 1798? #dailyshow

And finally...

"Void and vacant": Our fool for a "POTUS" Trump says Biden pardons are nullified. Yeahhh NO. If that WAS true, the next democratic POTUS will just invalidate Trump's pardons of violent HIS insurrectionists HE sent to...Insurrection.

Compiled with aid of ChatGPT

 

If Trump Were Zelensky: From 2020 Russian Invasion of Ukraine Until Today

Timeline of Zelensky’s/Trump's Leadership From the 2022 Russian Invasion to the 2025 Oval Office Meeting

1. February 24, 2022 – Russia Invades Ukraine

• Zelensky's Response: Refused to flee Kyiv, rallied Ukrainians with defiant speeches, and secured international military aid.
• If Trump Were President of Ukraine: Likely would have tried to negotiate with Putin instead of resisting, possibly delaying military mobilization while claiming he could "make a deal."

2. March 2022 – Kyiv Under Siege

• Zelensky's Response: Walked the streets of Kyiv in defiance, rejected U.S. evacuation offers with "I need ammunition, not a ride."
• If Trump Were President: Would likely have fled to Western Ukraine or abroad while claiming the war would have never happened if he were in charge. Would have blamed NATO, the EU, or past Ukrainian leaders. He would have prioritized evacuation to ensure his personal safety, potentially accepting the "ride" offered.

3. April–May 2022 – War Crimes in Bucha, Defense of Mariupol

• Zelensky's Response: Exposed Russian atrocities, secured more weapons, and rallied Western nations.
• If Trump Were President: Likely would have downplayed war crimes, possibly saying "both sides have done bad things." Would have obsessed over who praised or criticized him, rather than military strategy.

4. September 2022 – Ukrainian Counteroffensive in Kharkiv

• Zelensky's Response: Oversaw one of the war’s most successful counterattacks, reclaiming occupied territory.
• If Trump Were President: Would have taken full credit for any success while attacking his own generals if anything went wrong.

5. December 2022 – Zelensky's Historic Speech to U.S. Congress

• Zelensky's Response: Addressed Congress in person, securing more military aid and strengthening U.S.-Ukraine ties.
• If Trump Were President: Would have demanded personal loyalty from Congress, attacked critics, and likely insulted allies who weren’t giving Ukraine “enough.”

6. 2023–2024 – Stalemate and Struggles for More U.S. Aid

• Zelensky's Response: Maintained global support, pressed Congress, and kept morale high despite heavy losses.
• If Trump Were President: Would have blamed NATO and Europe for not doing more, possibly considering deals with Russia to end the war on unfavorable terms.

7. February 2025 – Oval Office Meeting With Trump

• Zelensky's Reality: Berated and pressured while standing firm on Ukraine’s needs.
• If Trump Were in Zelensky’s Shoes: The meeting would have been a complete disaster:
• Trump would have taken everything personally, likely ranting about unfair treatment.
• He might have threatened to walk out, insulted Congress, or refused to take responsibility for Ukraine’s struggles.
• Instead of rallying support, he would have blamed allies and possibly hinted at withdrawing from the war altogether.

If the roles had been reversed—meaning Zelensky was in Trump's position as the U.S. president, and Trump was the leader of a nation at war facing Russian aggression—Zelensky would likely have handled the situation very differently.

Zelensky’s Likely Approach:

1. Respectful Diplomacy: Zelensky has consistently treated world leaders with diplomatic courtesy, even in difficult situations. Instead of berating Trump, he would have likely expressed firm support while encouraging a strong alliance.
2. Commitment to Aid: Given Zelensky’s track record, he would have reassured Trump that the U.S. remains committed to providing assistance, whether in military aid, humanitarian relief, or diplomatic efforts.
3. Clear Communication: Zelensky is direct but measured. He would have likely acknowledged Trump’s struggles while emphasizing the importance of international unity against Russian aggression.
4. Public Support: Rather than embarrassing Trump in front of the press, Zelensky would have reinforced a public show of unity, avoiding the kind of humiliation that Trump subjected him to in the real meeting.

In contrast, Trump’s actual behavior toward Zelensky was dismissive and condescending, showing little empathy for a wartime leader. Had the situation been reversed, Zelensky would have approached it with far more tact and leadership.

Final Takeaway

Zelensky has led with resilience, diplomacy, and unwavering focus on Ukraine’s survival. If Trump had been in his position, Ukraine might not have lasted this long, as his need for personal praise, deal-making tendencies, and lack of military strategy would have played into Putin’s hands.

Compiled with aid of ChatGPT

If Trump Were Zelensky: How He Would Have Melted Down in the Oval Office Showdown

First a couple of things.

Fox News Brit Hume: "It didn't see that Zelensky was reading the room." At the Oval Office meeting. Who the FUCK could have read THAT room? I wasn't reading THAT room when I was watching it unfold! It was a room of Trump mental patient inmates.

From "The Angry Staffer" - "The Most Embarrassing Day".

This blog came from this concept: "Take the Trump / Zelensky Oval Office meeting yesterday and turn it around. How would TRUMP have handled that situation with Zelensky's VP attack dogging Trump? Exactly."

Yesterday in the Oval Office, America was humiliated while the Right, Republicans, and Trump supporters attempted to lay the blame all at the feet of Ukraine's Pres. Zelensky, who was by all accounts treated very improperly for the leader of a state at war.

Also...

The recent Oval Office meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has raised questions regarding its orchestration and the timing of Russian media coverage.

Pre-Arranged Coverage:

Russian state media's access to the meeting suggests a degree of pre-arrangement. A reporter from Russia's state-owned news agency gained entry to the Oval Office, even as other media outlets were barred. This unusual access indicates that Russian media were prepared to cover the event extensively.

Timing and Coordination:

The swift and detailed reporting by Russian media following the meeting points to prior knowledge. Russian officials, including former President Dmitry Medvedev, quickly commented on the incident, describing Zelenskyy's treatment as a "proper rebuke." This rapid response suggests coordination and possible pre-awareness of the meeting's dynamics.

Speculations on Trump-Putin Communication:

While the orchestrated media coverage raises questions about the meeting's setup, there is no concrete evidence linking President Trump and President Putin in arranging the event. The timing of Russian reactions aligns more with the meeting's immediate aftermath than with any coordinated effort between Trump and Putin.

In summary, the access granted to Russian state media and the rapidity of their coverage suggest a level of pre-arrangement, though direct involvement of Trump and Putin remains speculative without further evidence.

Zelensky was treated shamefully in the White House, especially considering that he is a wartime leader fighting for his country’s survival. Instead of being met with the dignity and respect due to a head of state risking everything against an aggressive invader, he was subjected to public berating and political grandstanding.

Why This Treatment Was Disgraceful:

1. A Disregard for Diplomacy – Instead of a constructive discussion on Ukraine’s needs, the meeting became a humiliating spectacle where Zelensky was talked down to rather than treated as a critical U.S. ally.

2. Undermining an Ally in Crisis – Ukraine is not just asking for aid out of desperation; it is actively fighting a war that aligns with U.S. national security interests. The way Zelensky was handled signaled weakness in America’s commitment to defending democracy against authoritarian aggression.

3. A Break from Traditional U.S. Conduct – Historically, U.S. presidents have shown strong support for allies at war, regardless of party politics. Forcing Zelensky into a pleading position in the Oval Office was a stark contrast to how past leaders, like Churchill or other wartime allies, were treated.

4. Fuel for Russian Propaganda – The humiliation of Zelensky on U.S. soil played right into Putin’s hands. Russia thrives on any sign that Ukraine is losing Western support, and this moment likely gave the Kremlin ammunition to claim that America is abandoning Ukraine.

5. A Missed Opportunity for Unity – Instead of rallying support, the meeting sent a divisive message. It should have been a moment to reaffirm that defending Ukraine is in America’s best interest, not an occasion for public disrespect.

Zelensky’s treatment in the White House was not just disrespectful to him—and to America as it was a bad look for America as a global leader. At a time when authoritarian regimes are watching for signs of Western weakness, the handling of Zelensky sent all the wrong signals. Pres. Trump seems to be vying for a position for America as anything in the world but its leader, going forward.

Zelensky handled the Oval Office debacle with remarkable restraint and composure—far better than many leaders would have in his position.

1. He Stayed Focused on Ukraine’s Survival – Instead of getting caught up in the political theatrics, Zelensky kept redirecting the conversation back to the stakes of the war and Ukraine’s need for continued U.S. support.

2. He Pushed Back Without Escalating – When Trump berated him, Zelensky firmly but diplomatically countered, making it clear that Ukraine had already delivered on its commitments. He didn’t resort to anger, which could have alienated U.S. lawmakers, but also didn’t back down.

3. He Resisted Being Humiliated – The moment could have turned into a power play where Zelensky was forced into a submissive stance, but he refused to let that happen. His body language, tone, and words all signaled that he was an equal leader fighting for his country, not a beggar.

4. He Handled the Pressure in Real Time – The public nature of the moment, with cameras rolling, meant Zelensky had to balance assertiveness with diplomacy. He didn’t let Trump bait him into a spectacle, which would have played into the hands of Russian propaganda.

5. He Showed Strength Under Fire – Instead of letting frustration take over, Zelensky held his ground with facts and logic, reinforcing Ukraine’s contributions and needs without losing his cool.

Overall, he turned an uncomfortable, humiliating situation into a demonstration of leadership, proving why he remains an effective advocate for Ukraine on the world stage.

If the roles were reversed—where Ukraine was a superpower aiding the U.S. in a war against Russia, and Trump was in Zelensky's position yesterday, the Oval Office debacle would have played out very differently. Here’s how:

1. Trump’s Ego Wouldn’t Allow Humility

Zelensky handled the situation with restraint, pushing back firmly but staying diplomatic. Trump, on the other hand, does not handle criticism well. If a foreign leader berated him in the Oval Office, he would immediately fire back—likely louder and more aggressively.

2. He’d Turn It Into a Personal Grievance

Instead of keeping the focus on America’s survival (like Zelensky did for Ukraine), Trump would likely shift the conversation to how he personally felt insulted. He might say something like:

"Nobody’s done more for Ukraine—excuse me, America—than me! And you’re treating me like this? Very unfair!"

3. He’d Make It About Respect

Trump often demands total loyalty and praise, so if the Ukrainian leader (in this case, the powerful one) was grilling him, he’d lash out about being disrespected rather than addressing the military aid issue.

4. He’d Threaten to Walk Out

Zelensky stood his ground and kept the conversation going. Trump, however, might storm out or threaten to cut ties, saying something like:

"Maybe we don’t need your aid! Maybe we should just go it alone! Maybe Ukraine doesn’t appreciate us!"

5. He’d Brag About How He Could End the War Instantly

Instead of focusing on securing more support, he might claim he alone could solve the war if only he were in charge of both sides—similar to his past claims about ending the Ukraine war in “24 hours.”

6. He’d Turn to the Cameras for a Show

Zelensky kept his cool under pressure. Trump, however, would turn it into a performance, talking past the Ukrainian leader and addressing the media:

"See, folks? Very unfair. They’re not treating us right. And quite frankly, America deserves better. Maybe we should stop fighting Russia altogether—who knows?!"

Final Takeaway

Trump’s inability to handle criticism, love for theatrics, and need for dominance would have made the meeting chaotic, combative, and counterproductive. Instead of advocating for America’s survival, he would have made it about himself—probably damaging U.S.-Ukraine relations in the process.

America can do better. We just need a leader somewhat comparable to one who holds the Office of the President of the United States of America.

 Compiled with aid of ChatGPT

Missteps in Countering Russian Expansionism: From Strategic Failures to Donald Trump's Ineffective Policies

Before the 2014 Russian Crimean invasion, the United States had significantly reduced its troop presence in Europe prior to Russia's 2014 annexation of Crimea. 

First up, CFPOTUS47 Donald Trump's EOs:

Tracking Trump's executive orders: What he's signed so far (from Axios).

Oh, and this: Female Bishop Calls Out Trump to His Face at Church Service

Moving on...

This topic was so disturbing to ChatGPT, that this was the only graphic it would generate for me for this blog today. So I guess we'll go with that...

This reduction was part of a broader post-Cold War drawdown and strategic realignment:

Troop Reductions Post-Cold War

• Cold War Peak: At the height of the Cold War, there were over 300,000 U.S. troops stationed in Europe, primarily in West Germany, to deter the Soviet Union.
• 1990s Drawdown: After the fall of the Berlin Wall and the dissolution of the Soviet Union, U.S. forces in Europe were gradually reduced. By the early 2000s, the number was closer to 100,000.
• Global War on Terror: The U.S. focused resources on Iraq and Afghanistan, further reducing its European military footprint.

Specific Reductions Before 2014

• Base Closures: Many U.S. bases in Europe were closed or consolidated, particularly in Germany.
• Troop Numbers: By 2013, the number of U.S. troops in Europe had fallen to around 60,000, a fraction of Cold War levels.
• Strategic Reorientation: The U.S. shifted focus toward the Middle East and the Asia-Pacific, deemphasizing Europe as a central theater of operations.

Response to the Crimea Crisis

After Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014, the U.S. and NATO reassessed their force posture in Europe:

• NATO Reassurance: NATO initiated the European Reassurance Initiative (ERI) to bolster Eastern European allies.
• Rotational Deployments: The U.S. began deploying troops to Europe on a rotational basis, particularly to Eastern European NATO countries like Poland and the Baltic States.
• Increased Exercises: Joint military exercises with European allies were ramped up to signal commitment to collective defense under NATO's Article 5.

The 2014 crisis marked a shift back to a more cautious stance toward Russia, leading to gradual increases in NATO and U.S. military activities in Europe.

When we removed nuclear subs from Iceland, Russian action and bases increased? This also included the withdrawal of nuclear-powered submarines and the closure of Keflavík Naval Air Station in 2006, Russia's military activity in the North Atlantic and Arctic regions increased in subsequent years.

U.S. Withdrawal from Iceland:

• Closure of Keflavík Base (2006): The U.S. Navy closed Keflavík Naval Air Station as part of a global realignment of forces, reducing its direct military presence in Iceland.
• Reduced Arctic Focus: With the end of the Cold War, the Arctic and North Atlantic were no longer seen as primary theaters of U.S.-Russia competition, leading to less emphasis on maintaining military infrastructure in the region.

Russian Military Activity Afterward:

• Increased Submarine Patrols: By the mid-2000s, Russia had begun modernizing its submarine fleet and increasing patrols in the North Atlantic, signaling a renewed emphasis on asserting its presence in the region.
  • The Northern Fleet, based near Murmansk, became more active in Arctic and Atlantic waters.
• Long-Range Bomber Flights: Russian Tu-95 and Tu-160 bombers began flying more frequent missions over the North Atlantic, often skirting NATO airspace.
• New Arctic Bases: Russia established new military bases and reopened former Soviet-era bases in the Arctic, bolstering its strategic foothold in the region.
• Focus on Sea Lanes and Resources: Russia’s interest in the Arctic increased due to melting ice, which opened potential shipping lanes and access to valuable resources.

U.S. and NATO Response:

• Renewed Interest in Iceland: By the mid-2010s, as Russia's activity grew more assertive, NATO and the U.S. re-engaged with Iceland, including:
  • Rotational Deployments: U.S. and NATO aircraft, including P-8 Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft, began operating from Iceland to monitor submarine activity.
  • Surveillance Upgrades: NATO invested in upgrading radar and surveillance systems in Iceland to track Russian aircraft and submarines.
• Focus on Anti-Submarine Warfare: The North Atlantic once again became a focal point for NATO’s anti-submarine efforts, particularly as Russia’s submarine fleet advanced technologically.

The withdrawal of U.S. forces and subsequent increase in Russian activity highlighted the strategic importance of the North Atlantic as a critical area for NATO deterrence and response efforts.

Two Brief asides: Development Plans, Military Potential, and Conflict Prevention (2021)

Also: As melting ice bringing Arctic into geostrategic prominence, Russia quickly establishes its military dominance over it (2021)

We've seemingly been taking a poor orientation toward ending Russian expansionism. As many analysts have argued, the U.S. and NATO underestimated the geopolitical consequences of their post-Cold War military drawdowns and their focus on other regions, may have inadvertently emboldened Russian expansionism. The reduction of military presence and attention to areas like the Arctic and Eastern Europe arguably created perceived power vacuums that Russia sought to exploit.

Key Aspects of the Orientation Toward Russian Expansionism:

1. Post-Cold War Optimism:

   • After the Soviet Union's collapse, there was an expectation that Russia would integrate into a cooperative international system.
   • NATO's focus shifted away from direct deterrence of Russia to global conflicts and counterterrorism, reducing emphasis on Eastern Europe and the Arctic.

2. Military Reductions:

   • Withdrawal of U.S. forces from critical areas, like Iceland and Eastern Europe, signaled a de-escalation of focus on Russian threats.
   • NATO expansions to Eastern Europe may have been seen as provocative, but without corresponding defensive build-ups, they likely appeared symbolic rather than substantive.

3. Russia's Strategic Opportunism:

   • Russia perceived the U.S. and NATO's shifting focus as a chance to assert itself regionally and internationally.
   • Actions like the 2008 war in Georgia and the 2014 annexation of Crimea exploited the lack of a robust Western deterrent in these areas.

4. Underestimation of Hybrid Warfare:

   • The West was slow to recognize and respond to Russia's use of hybrid warfare, including cyberattacks, propaganda, and covert operations, which were employed effectively in Crimea, Ukraine, and beyond.
   • Traditional military responses were less effective against these tactics, leading to gaps in strategic deterrence.

Poor Orientation Factors:

• Delayed Responses: It took events like the annexation of Crimea and military intervention in Syria to prompt a significant reevaluation of Russian intentions.
• Lack of Unified Strategy: NATO and EU countries often had differing approaches to handling Russia, with some prioritizing economic ties over security concerns.
• Insufficient Arctic and Atlantic Focus: Reduced presence in key regions like Iceland and the Arctic allowed Russia to expand its military and economic influence.
• Energy Dependency: Europe's reliance on Russian energy limited the willingness of some countries to challenge Moscow directly.

Recent Course Corrections:

In recent years, NATO has made significant efforts to address Russian expansionism:

• Increased Troop Deployments: NATO has established rotational forces in Eastern Europe and bolstered defenses in countries like Poland and the Baltic States.
• Arctic and Atlantic Reinvestment: The U.S. and NATO have re-prioritized the North Atlantic and Arctic as critical strategic regions.
• Support for Ukraine: Military aid and sanctions have been employed to counter Russian aggression in Ukraine, aiming to raise the costs of expansionism.

While these steps indicate a shift toward addressing Russian threats, some argue that earlier, more decisive actions could have deterred Moscow’s aggressive behavior, especially in the 2000s.

So, how do we stop and push back Russian expansionism? It requires a multifaceted strategy that combines military deterrence, economic pressure, diplomatic engagement, and strategic resilience. Below are the key components to effectively counter Russian aggression:

---

1. Strengthen NATO and Regional Allies

• Increase Military Presence: Bolster permanent and rotational deployments in Eastern Europe and the Arctic to deter Russian aggression, particularly in NATO's most vulnerable areas like the Baltic states and Poland.
• Defensive Infrastructure: Invest in air defense systems, early-warning radars, and pre-positioned equipment in key regions to counter potential attacks.
• Enhanced NATO Cooperation: Streamline decision-making within NATO to allow rapid responses to threats, especially hybrid warfare tactics.
• Arctic Strategy: Increase NATO's presence in the Arctic to counter Russian military buildup and secure new shipping lanes.

---

2. Support Ukraine and Other Vulnerable States

• Military Assistance: Provide Ukraine with advanced weaponry, training, and intelligence to defend itself effectively.
• Economic Aid: Support Ukraine's economy to reduce vulnerability to Russian pressure and ensure long-term resilience.
• Integration with the West: Encourage reforms in Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia to bring them closer to NATO and the EU, signaling they are not within Russia's sphere of influence.
• Cyber Defense: Help vulnerable states build robust defenses against Russian cyberattacks and disinformation campaigns.

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3. Impose Economic and Energy Sanctions

• Target Key Sectors: Maintain and strengthen sanctions on Russian energy, finance, and defense industries to limit Moscow's ability to fund military operations.
• Counter Energy Dependency: Help European allies diversify their energy sources through renewables, LNG imports, and investments in infrastructure to reduce reliance on Russian energy exports.
• Restrict Technology Transfer: Deny Russia access to critical technologies, such as advanced semiconductors and energy exploration tools, to hamper military and economic modernization.

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4. Counter Hybrid Warfare

• Combat Disinformation: Develop coordinated efforts to expose and counter Russian propaganda and disinformation campaigns in Western democracies.
• Secure Cyber Infrastructure: Protect critical infrastructure against Russian cyberattacks by investing in cybersecurity and fostering international cooperation.
• Expose Covert Operations: Identify and neutralize Russian intelligence and paramilitary activities abroad through intelligence-sharing and counterintelligence efforts.

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5. Build Resilience in Europe

• Strengthen Democratic Institutions: Support democratic governance, rule of law, and media independence in Europe to counter Russian influence.
• Economic Integration: Deepen trade and economic ties between vulnerable nations and Western economies to reduce Russia's leverage.
• Energy Independence: Promote investments in renewable energy and infrastructure to eliminate Europe's reliance on Russian gas and oil.

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6. Diplomatic and Strategic Engagement

• Clear Red Lines: Communicate unambiguously the consequences of further aggression, backed by credible military and economic capabilities.
• Engage in Diplomacy: Keep diplomatic channels open to de-escalate tensions when possible, focusing on arms control, Arctic cooperation, and mutual security concerns.
• Coalition Building: Work with other nations, including Japan, South Korea, and Australia, to build a global consensus against Russian expansionism.

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7. Support for Russian Civil Society

• Promote Internal Reform: Provide indirect support for Russian civil society groups, independent media, and pro-democracy movements to foster internal pressure for reform.
• Expose Corruption: Highlight and sanction corruption within the Russian elite to undermine domestic support for the Kremlin's expansionist policies.

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8. Long-Term Strategic Objectives

• Maintain Strategic Patience: Recognize that countering Russian aggression is a long-term effort requiring sustained commitment from the U.S. and allies.
• Adapt to Hybrid Threats: Continuously refine strategies to address evolving forms of aggression, from cyberattacks to energy blackmail.

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By combining these measures, the U.S. and its allies can effectively deter Russian expansionism, protect vulnerable nations, and push back against Moscow's influence while encouraging internal changes in Russia that may lead to a more cooperative stance in the future.

Is someone like convicted felon-POTUS Donald Trump then, the wrong direction for us to take in all this? Assessing whether Donald Trump's approach is effective in countering Russian expansionism involves examining his policies and actions during his presidency and campaign statements.

Trump's Policies and Actions on Russia:

• Sanctions and Energy Policies: The Trump administration considered using oil sanctions as leverage to facilitate peace in Ukraine, proposing relief for Russian oil producers if an agreement was reached, and stricter sanctions to pressure Moscow into negotiations.

  ElHuffPost

• NATO Relations: During his campaign, Trump suggested he might not defend NATO allies who did not meet the alliance's defense spending target of 2% of GDP, stating he would "encourage" Russia to "do whatever the hell they want" in such cases.

  Wikipedia

• Russia-Ukraine War: Trump pledged to negotiate an end to the Russia-Ukraine war swiftly, proposing to halt U.S. military aid to Ukraine unless it engaged in peace talks, and to increase aid if Russia refused negotiations.

  Wikipedia

Criticisms and Concerns:

• Inconsistent Rhetoric: Trump's praise for Russian President Vladimir Putin contrasted with actions like expelling Russian diplomats, leading to perceptions of inconsistency in his stance toward Russia.

• NATO Commitment: Statements questioning the U.S. commitment to NATO allies raised concerns about weakening the alliance's deterrence against Russian aggression.

• Ukraine Policy: Proposals to condition U.S. military aid on Ukraine's participation in peace talks could be seen as pressuring Ukraine to make concessions, potentially emboldening Russian expansionism.

Conclusion:

While the Trump administration implemented certain measures against Russia, such as considering sanctions and expelling diplomats, other actions and rhetoric, including questioning NATO commitments and proposing conditional support to Ukraine, may have signaled a less robust stance against Russian expansionism. 

Therefore, one might argue as some analysts do, that Trump's approach could be seen as misaligned with strategies aimed at effectively countering Russian aggression.

Meaning, Donald Trump is the worst possible person for POTUS, at the worst possible time, to allow for this kind of a cockup.

Compiled with the aid of ChatGPT

Walkabout Thoughts #56

My thoughts, Stream of consciousness, rough and ready, while walking off long Covid and listening to podcasts… July 17, 2023, Monday

Weather for the day… 67° starting out, 72° when I got home

Podcast Deja News by Rachel Maddow, final episode of the season: Episode 6: “Hello America, this is Addis Ababa.” This episode is relating our defense of Ukraine, through to something that happened many many years ago in 1935 when blacks signed up to defend an African country, Ethiopia who were a member of the League of Nations, precursor to the UN, when there were only two black governed nation states in Africa. This was Mussolini, the Italian fascist, not the current fascist Putin in Russia. Mussolini thought if other countries are taking land in Africa, why shouldn't we? So instead of our decision to support Ukraine against Russia today, in 1935 America decided not to for Ethiopia against Italy. This is that story. Mussolini conjectured, they take over another country in a continent where other nations have colonized them. Why was that wrong? Because the era of colonization was over, dumb ass.

An anthropologist once said, "The human race is designed to raise up certain individuals and then take them down. While they were raised up in being something new, different, maybe better (hopefully), at some point they become an irritation to the overall organism and must be eliminated. Thus in example, Jesus was raised up and then eliminated. Where is that happening today and with whom? And are they that useful to humanity or just a small minority who have wrested power to abuse the entire nation (organism) as we see when authoritarianism takes countries over? To be sure at times a majority gets into it, supporting it.

I have published two of my screenplays as books, but for only a short time. I ordered my own copies, and when I receive them, I’m going to turn them off. I'll leave them there until these are produced as films and then, turn them back on again. “The Teenage Bodyguard", is a biopic and true crime story that’s been winning awards. I worked with producer, Robert Mitas (who was a producer on films with Michael Douglas) as consultant and producer to rewrite it is a shorter screenplay. 

But this is the longer original, a very well researched screenplay that got his attention. The second screenplay book I published is my horror and kind of comedy, “Gray and Lover, The Hearth Tales Incident". I entered a screenplay festival, where a side benefit was getting your screen place published as a book. I thought what the heck? But I also thought that if you  are really serious about having a screenplay produced, publish the screenplay as a book after the films is released, or at least after its purchase toward production (maybe not then).

Speaking of other works, my antiwar documentary filmic poem, "Pvt. Ravel's Bolero" is available exclusive on ThrilzTV. It has 18 short film awards internationally including, Best War Documentary, Best Experimental Film, Best Director, and others. In my previous blog you can see my previous poster for the film.

It sure seems like we usually know a war is coming, before it starts. So why don’t we do things ahead of time. as if the war has started? I also never understood, we have NATO and we have the UN, and while there are countries not part of NATO, why do we let that stop us from refusing war, ever again? Or at least do everything we can before one starts to cut it off. Yeah, yeah, I get all the contraindications, but while we're still at a point in our infancy, in our adolescence that we continue to allow wars, aggression against other countries? Come on! Sometimes after long paying your dues, you simply have to accept that you are a professional...or you ARE mature enough to do what is right and correct.

Aggressors, either Mussolini, or Hitler, or Putin, do not learn lessons. Donald Trump did NOT (never will), as one Republican Congresswoman Susan Collins had said ("Trump has learned ‘a pretty big lesson’ from impeachment"), learn a lesson from his bad actions. Nope. ain't gonna happen. What these dictatorial autocrats learn from failure is how to succeed further, the next time. What you do with these people, as we saw in World War II with these imperialistic aggressors, is you physically stop them, disallowing them their desires. We have still not done that with Putin, or helped Russia out of their delusions. Putin has fed them propaganda and dezinformatsiya for over 20 years. They have generationally been inculcated through the Soviet union since 1917, and before that as a country of serfs under a czar. Putin should have been reacted to long before the Ukrainian invasions. He should’ve been stopped before the 2014 invasion. Not just western democracies and America seem crippled when it comes to being proactive. One can offer climate change as evidence. I offer Ukraine here as evidence. At some point one has to learn you do not put up with bullies or you actualize them and propagate their existences.

In 2014, when "little green men" we’re running around, supporting Ukrainian Russian separatists, when still no one knew who they were, that was when we should (all) have supported Ukraine. 100% in all ways possible. Because Russian would not have taken Crimea and we would not now be involved in the Ukrainian war because of this delusional, Russian dictator once again. When will we learn that? Never? Apparently. Well, we're doing (a little) better, now.

I also think we need to sign on to the agreement about cluster (bombs) munitions. We need to sign on about land mines (thanks again, Trump). We need to get the world into a knee jerk reaction against international aggression at some point and, granted this may be a little premature, though I hope not, because earth really needs to stop allowing war.

The bombing of Japan that ended the war in the Pacific was a horrific event that did with Oppenheimer thought it would do. What he pushed for. It horrified humanity. Perhaps what we need now is for Russian nationals themselves to set off a nuke. A college kid can create an atomic bomb, they just need some fuel. Once they find specifically were Putin is at the moment and trying to minimize "collateral damage" as the military prefers to say, that might just wake the Russians the fuck up. But if anyone other than Russians do that, it just simple not serve the purpose to turn Russia around in their current despicable course.

Why do we allow people like Putin or Donald Trump even to breathe the same air as decent people? This is not a conundrum, by the way.

As Rachel says in the podcast, "Dictators force you to consider your own interest against others." In the hope that yours will win out, to support theirs in the end, and the beginning. In this far too narcissistic world anymore (See, MAGA), an entire political party apparently devoted to narcissism, and the needs of the one each one over that of the group or the group over that of all citizens.

Putin has shown himself to be a callous anachronism...someone who displays a lack of empathy or sensitivity in a context where such behavior has become (by him...or them) no longer appropriate or acceptable. And the same is true of Donald Trump, and those who support either of them.

I agree NATO shouldn’t be going to war against Russia because of Ukraine. The United Nations Armed Forces should be. Which doesn't exist in that form. And if it did, might prove problematic. But does end  justify the means?

According to Donald Trump, his January 6 insurrection was an FBI false flag operation. But if we put him in jail, his supporters will do it again. That’s what we’re up against? One has to be unavailingly stupid to buy that line of bullshit. Well...MAGA.

Putin: the greatest catastrophe of the 20th century was the fall of the Soviet Union. Excuse me, while I guffaw. Donald Trump: his not being reelected is the greatest catastrophe in the entire 21st-century. Which we just started. Double guffaw. Moronic comics.

If Donald Trump‘s allegedly mushroom shaped penis were to "eat" all of his ego for a solid year until it was found to be engorged, like him, it would vastly larger than his character could ever attain. The man has no character, from a time when "character" was considered a comment on good character and not the existence of merely ANY character at all. Some "character" is not to be acceptable, or locked up, or wiped from existence for the benefit of Humankind. Remember when we were, "kind"?

After Trump's so far now, mere six court trials get going, I’ll need to be sure to get a photo of him now and from a year ago to compare to his photo from a year from hence. Because I would think his decrepitude will be easily observed in advancing exponentially.

The only metaphor I could think of just now for Trump's ludicrously adoring fans would be if he were seeb as their "cake", where instead of icing, it's just an inch of fat with no sugar, and maybe a little rancid, and they lap it up, loving it. And of course he and they, "want their cake and eat it, too."

Those especially in Congress or Governors of states, or Attorney General’s of states, who still disingenuously cannot clearly see how Donald Trump is criminal and how what he did was criminal, truly should be removed from office. So much of what these people do is not direct logic and they have to be able to draw conclusions and synthesize information, to apply it elsewhere. Tim Scott, saying he doesn’t hold Donald Trump accountable because Trump didn’t personally come and try to kill him on January 6, is probably the most disingenuous thing I’ve ever heard him say. Remove him from office. And he therefore has no right to run for POTUS.

I love Pad Thai. My son told me he read somewhere that Thai people don’t usually eat Pad Thai. That saddened me. On the other hand, there is a lot of other Thai food that’s much tastier. There’s Chinese food too, which I love that you can’t find in China because while it’s Chinese food based or China fusion or something. Chinese people in China wouldn't recognize it. I just don’t much care for Pad Thai with a solid wafer of egg in it. I only started seeing that in the past few years. Chicken, cut up in it is fine. I think when I started eating it, it was with pork, probably, but I’ve come to really like the chicken version. Even the tofu version can be good.

The number of Republicans who believe what Donald Trump did during his January 6 insurrection was criminal is under 10%. These are definitely low information people. Let me explain that. Information is real, it’s factual. They are however on the other hand, rather high DISinformation people. They're not stupid, but they are selective ignorant (on purpose).

What the hell is doing a shibboleth? That from Jon Lovett on the "Pod Save America" podcast: "Shibboleth is a single sign-on log-in system for computer networks and the Internet." Nope, not that. "a word or saying used by adherents of a party, sect, or belief and usually regarded by others as empty of real meaning." Maybe? What did AI said: "The phrase "doing a shibboleth" typically refers to using a particular word, expression, or custom as a test or a way to identify insiders from outsiders within a group or community." Ah, that must be why he keeps using it. "The term originates from an ancient Hebrew word, "shibboleth," which means "ear of corn" or "stream." In the Book of Judges in the Bible (Judges 12:5-6), it is described as a password used to distinguish between two groups of people who were at war."

I switched over to "Pod Save America" when Rachel’s double length, hour long, excellent podcast ended. And everyone should listen to Rachel‘s podcast of her season finale of Deja News ASAP.

Cheers! Sláinte!