Showing posts with label Democrat. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Democrat. Show all posts

Monday, November 4, 2024

Presidential Election 2024 and the Nightmare It Could Be

Tuesday, November 5, 2024, is the final election day...hopefully not forever.

The Convict vs The Prosecutor
Where do Harris and Trump stand on the key election issues? - Guardian

Kamala’s Wins @harris_wins - "BREAKING: Nikki Haley is bashing the Trump campaign for running one of the weakest candidates and races she’s seen. It’s clear the dam is breaking within the Republican Party and the base is fracturing. Retweet so all Americans see this."

Sunday, November 3, 2024...
Trump, more comments about bullets passing through the media at his rally.
Trump Says He Wouldn’t Mind Someone Shooting Through ‘Fake News’ At Rally
This is not presidential in any way, shape or form. Forbes

Now. Let's start with THIS:

National Security Leaders for America @NSLforAmerica
Nov 2
UPDATED ENDORSEMENT: 1,043 National Security Leaders—including 10 Cabinet & 11 Service Secretaries, 253 retired Admirals & Generals, 49 Senior Enlisted, and 164 Ambassadors—proudly endorse Kamala Harris for President.

Trump "America"

About women's issues this election...

At a recent campaign event in New Hampshire, Donald Trump asserted his intention by saying:
“I’m going to protect the women of our country… whether the women like it or not.”
Which has raised concerns if not alarms for some about his approach to women's autonomy and reproductive rights. Critics have interpreted this statement as indicative of narcissistic and misogynistic tendencies, suggesting that he prioritizes his views over women's expressed desires.
This behavior aligns with a broader pattern observed among some political figures who claim to act in women's interests while disregarding their preferences. Which women have now died from.
Trump's history of controversial remarks and allegations of sexual misconduct contributes to the perception of him as embodying misogyny. His assertion that he will act in women's best interests, regardless of their input, resonates with narcissistic behavior, where one's own beliefs overshadow the rights of others.
Such dynamics prompt worries about the normalization of these attitudes and their implications for societal views on women's rights and sexual violence​.
Trump's comments can provide a sense of validation for individuals with narcissistic and abusive tendencies, as they reinforce a sense of power and control over women. Such remarks can resonate with those who hold misogynistic views, allowing them to feel justified in their beliefs and actions.
This dynamic is concerning, particularly in light of his adjudicated status as a sexual abuser, and his being a convicted felon indicating a criminal behavior orientation which is arguably a lifetime orientation, all of which raises questions about the authenticity of his intentions to protect women.
The juxtaposition of his rhetoric with his past actions highlights the complexities of his influence and the dangers it poses.
But sure, vote for Trump as POTUS. We don't have enough chaotic, ignorant and unfocused leaders, yet.

Does China want Trump to win?

China prefers stability and predictability in international relations, which does not align with Trump's often erratic and confrontational style. During his presidency, Trump's unpredictable trade wars and sudden policy shifts strained U.S.-China relations and made it difficult for Chinese officials to navigate these changes—often not in positive ways.

Moreover, Trump’s alignment with Putin could create challenges for China, as Russia serves as a counterbalance to Western influence in various areas. Strengthening ties between the U.S. and Russia could increase geopolitical pressure on China, especially in regions where their interests overlap or where they cooperate against Western powers. Given these factors, it's reasonable to conclude that Trump's return to the presidency may not align with China's strategic interests.

The question of whether the U.S. should align more closely with China's interests is complex. While promoting stability and predictability could reduce tensions and potential conflict, it's crucial for the U.S. to prioritize its own national interests, values, and relationships with allies. Engaging with China on economic and environmental issues can be beneficial, but such engagement must be cautious—especially under a leadership style like Trump's—to protect U.S. industries and human rights.

Ultimately, a pragmatic approach that encourages stability while maintaining a firm stance on core values is essential for U.S. foreign policy.

On the topic of Putin, Ukraine, and NATO, Boris Johnson recently stated that Ukraine must join NATO, emphasizing that Putin cannot be allowed to expand into Europe, which he sees as his intention. He argues that the only viable path is to bring Ukraine into NATO to prevent a Russian victory. Johnson also expresses skepticism about Trump’s willingness to stand up to Putin, highlighting the need to closely observe the dynamics between Putin and Trump.

Zelenskyy warns North Korea, Russia alliance could spell trouble for Asia: China's 'silence is striking'
"Ukrainian Pres Zelenskyy is sounding the alarm that the recent deployment of NK troops in Russia not only spells trouble for Ukraine, but also draws into question the stability & security of nations in Asia that are allied with the West.
"North Korea’s actions aren’t random," Zelenskyy said in a frank interview with South Korea’s public broadcasting network KBS on Thursday. "They have strategic goals."
"Their actions aren’t coincidental - they want Russia’s support in return," he added in comments also posted to his social media account on X." via Fox News

Summary of Trump's Comments & the Reality of Mail-in Voting - Trump's Statements:
2016: Trump claimed that mail-in voting could lead to widespread fraud, particularly targeting minority communities, asserting that the electoral system was "rigged"​

2018: He maintained mail-in ballots were vulnerable to fraud & warned of the potential for extensive cheating​

2022: Trump's rhetoric escalated, alleging that election officials distributed "80 million unsolicited ballots," emphasizing the risk of rampant fraud​

2024: He continues to frame early & mail-in voting as significant threats to democracy, reflecting persistent distrust in these systems​

Reality of Mail-in Voting:

Low Rates of Fraud: Research indicates that voter fraud, particularly involving mail-in ballots, is exceedingly rare. Studies have shown that states using mail-in voting have low instances of fraud, often lower than traditional voting methods​

No Systematic Bias: Evidence suggests that mail-in ballots do not favor any political party, countering claims that they disproportionately benefit Democrats or facilitate cheating​

Benefits of Accessibility: The expansion of mail-in voting has been recognized as beneficial, especially during crises like the COVID-19 pandemic, as it enhances voter accessibility without significantly increasing fraud risk​

In conclusion, while Trump's comments have fueled fears regarding the security of mail-in voting, the statistical evidence & research consistently show that these voting methods are secure & effective. 

Donald Trump's stance on early & mail-in voting has evolved recently, though it remains complex & sometimes contradictory. Historically, he has been critical of these voting methods, often associating them with potential fraud & claiming they undermine the integrity of elections. This rhetoric has created a significant partisan divide, with many Republicans working to encourage their voters to use these methods to increase turnout​.

However, leading up to the 2024 elections, Trump has started to shift his position. He announced that he plans to vote early this cycle, indicating a more accepting attitude toward early voting than in previous years. He expressed that he is "OK with early voting," acknowledging its popularity among voters​.

Donald Trump's recent support for early and mail-in voting stems from several strategic factors. As the Republican Party faces challenges in recent elections, Trump has recognized that embracing these voting methods is essential for improving turnout among GOP voters. This shift aligns with party initiatives aimed at maximizing voter participation, as many Republicans now view early voting as crucial for electoral success​

Trump's change in stance also reflects an acknowledgment of voter preferences, with many supporters favoring the convenience of early voting. His adaptation seems to be a pragmatic response to the changing political landscape, moving away from earlier claims of fraud associated with these voting methods​.


FYI...

Recent reports indicate that Chinese hackers have targeted the U.S. telecommunications infrastructure, with implications for national security and political campaigns. The FBI and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) have confirmed unauthorized access to commercial telecom systems, which may have included attempts to gather information related to the presidential campaigns of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris​

VOICE OF AMERICA

The hacking group involved, known as Salt Typhoon, has reportedly compromised systems of major U.S. telecom providers, including Verizon and AT&T. These breaches are concerning as they may allow hackers access to sensitive information, including wiretap capabilities that could undermine criminal investigations and national security operations​

While the Chinese government has denied these allegations, calling them disinformation, the attacks highlight ongoing cyber threats from state-sponsored actors in China​

U.S. intelligence has warned that such foreign actors are actively trying to interfere in the upcoming elections, using both cyberattacks and disinformation campaigns​

SECURITYWEEK

Russia

In the context of the upcoming U.S. elections, two significant Russian-related issues have emerged:

  1. Disinformation Campaigns: Russian-backed influence operations are increasingly targeting the electoral process in the United States. These campaigns focus on spreading misleading narratives that can affect public perception and voter behavior. The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) and Microsoft have warned that these disinformation efforts are part of a broader strategy to sow discord and amplify divisions among the American populace​

    The ongoing operations highlight the vulnerabilities in the information landscape, particularly as the election nears.

  2. Cyber Threats: While the recent focus has been on Chinese cyberattacks, Russia also poses a substantial cyber threat. Security agencies are alert to potential hacking incidents that could target election infrastructure or related systems. The concern is that Russian cyber actors may not only engage in disinformation but could also attempt to infiltrate critical systems to disrupt the electoral process​

Overall, both issues underscore the challenges facing U.S. election security as foreign actors like Russia continue to employ various tactics to interfere in the democratic process. For more information, you can explore detailed analyses from sources like WIRED and Microsoft’s threat assessment​

Thank you for being an American citizen. Now VOTE as sanely as you can with what you have to work with. 

Cheers! Sláinte!

Compiled with help from ChatGPT

Saturday, October 19, 2024

Election 2024: As Mob Size Increases, Intelligence Decreases Proportionally?

Some more interesting conversations with AI.

While attending university to earn my degree in psychology, I was introduced to a correlative statement that, "as mob size increases, intelligence decreases proportionally."


“In crowds the foolish, ignorant, and envious persons are freed from the sense of their insignificance and powerlessness, and are possessed instead by the notion of brutal and temporary but immense strength.” The Crowd: A Study of the Popular Mind – Gustave Le Bon

Remind you of any currently popular, right-wing political party?

ChatGPT said:

The idea that the intelligence or rationality of a mob decreases as its size increases is commonly attributed to observations in crowd psychology and group behavior. One of the key figures associated with this concept is French sociologist Gustave Le Bon, who discussed it extensively in his 1895 book, "The Crowd: A Study of the Popular Mind" (Video/transcript). Le Bon argued that individuals in large groups tend to lose their sense of individuality, rationality, and responsibility, leading to a kind of "collective mind" that is often more impulsive, emotional, and irrational than the behavior of the individuals alone.

Le Bon suggested that crowds are susceptible to suggestion and that individuals within the group often act based on emotions rather than logic. This can lead to what he called the "de-individuation" effect, where people become anonymous and behave in ways they would not when alone or in smaller groups. His theory emphasized that as the size of the crowd grows, the more likely it is for groupthink and mob mentality to take over, reducing overall intelligence and reasoned decision-making.

Psychologists like Sigmund Freud and later thinkers such as Elias Canetti in Crowds and Power have expanded on these ideas, further reinforcing the notion that mob behavior tends to amplify emotional responses and decrease intellectual reasoning.

The concept has since evolved into modern studies on groupthink, peer pressure, and herd mentality, all of which explore how individuals' decision-making capacities can diminish in larger groups or mobs.

I asked:

What is the most correct form of that statement?

ChatGPT said:

A more precise and correct version of the statement could be:

"As the size of a crowd increases, the capacity for individual critical thinking and rational decision-making tends to decrease, often leading to impulsive, emotional, and less intelligent collective behavior."

This version captures the essence of the idea without suggesting that the group's intelligence literally diminishes. Instead, it emphasizes the tendency for individuals within large groups to succumb to emotional influences, lose a sense of personal responsibility, and behave in ways they might not when alone. This results in actions that can appear less intelligent or more irrational on a collective level.

I said:

And if even more succinct?

ChatGPT said:

"As crowd size increases, individual critical thinking and rational decision-making often decline, leading to more impulsive and emotional group behavior."

I asked:

Has that original theory been discounted?

ChatGPT said:

The original theory posited by Gustave Le Bon and others about crowd behavior has not been entirely discounted but has evolved and been nuanced over time. While Le Bon's ideas laid a foundational understanding of mob mentality, contemporary research in social psychology and behavioral economics has offered a more complex view of group behavior.

Here are some key points regarding the evolution of the theory:

Complexity of Group Dynamics: Modern studies highlight that group dynamics can lead to both positive and negative outcomes. While large groups may exhibit impulsive behavior, they can also foster creativity, problem-solving, and collective intelligence.

Social Identity Theory: This theory suggests that individuals in a group may maintain their rationality when their social identity is strong. Group members can engage in thoughtful decision-making based on shared values and goals, contrary to Le Bon’s view of irrationality.

Groupthink: Research on groupthink illustrates how conformity pressures can lead to poor decision-making in groups, but it also acknowledges that diverse groups can enhance problem-solving and lead to better outcomes when managed effectively.

Collective Intelligence: Some studies suggest that diverse groups, when allowed to express different viewpoints, can outperform individuals on complex tasks, indicating that collective intelligence can sometimes exceed individual reasoning.

Context Matters: The context in which a crowd forms plays a crucial role in its behavior. Factors such as the purpose of the gathering, the presence of leaders, and the overall social environment can significantly influence whether a crowd behaves rationally or irrationally.

In summary, while Le Bon's foundational ideas about crowd behavior remain influential, they have been enriched by subsequent research that recognizes the complexities and potential for rational behavior in groups. The relationship between crowd size and intelligence is now viewed through a more nuanced lens that considers various social dynamics and contexts.

I asked:

How does that relate to the bizarre behaviors in discounting, ignoring, or rejecting even criminal behavior of an authoritarian and now convicted felon like Donald Trump in his MaGA political entity?

ChatGPT said:

The bizarre behaviors associated with discounting, ignoring, or rejecting the criminal actions of an authoritarian figure like Donald Trump, particularly within his MAGA political movement, can be understood through several psychological and sociological concepts related to group dynamics and crowd behavior. Here are some key points of relation:

Ingroup Bias: Supporters may exhibit ingroup bias, where they favor their group (in this case, the MAGA movement) over others. This bias can lead to rationalizations of behavior that would typically be condemned if exhibited by outsiders. Members may dismiss or downplay negative actions by their leader to maintain group cohesion and identity.

Cognitive Dissonance: When faced with evidence of wrongdoing by a figure they support, individuals may experience cognitive dissonance—an uncomfortable feeling arising from holding conflicting beliefs. To resolve this dissonance, supporters might reject the evidence, reinterpret it, or rationalize the behavior as acceptable, reinforcing their allegiance to the leader.

Groupthink: Within the MAGA movement, groupthink may manifest, where members suppress dissenting opinions and prioritize consensus over critical analysis. This can lead to collective rationalizations that ignore or downplay criminal behavior, as individuals prioritize loyalty to the group and its leader over independent judgment.

Moral Disengagement: Supporters may employ moral disengagement, a psychological process that allows individuals to separate their ethical standards from their actions or the actions of their leader. This can result in justifying or overlooking criminal behavior by framing it as a necessary means to achieve a perceived greater good.

Social Identity Theory: Many supporters may derive a significant part of their identity from their association with the MAGA movement. This strong social identity can lead to a reluctance to criticize or abandon the leader, even in the face of wrongdoing, as doing so could threaten their sense of belonging and self-worth.

Collective Rationalization: The group may collectively rationalize or reinterpret actions that might otherwise be viewed as criminal. This collective mindset can create an echo chamber where dissenting voices are minimized, and problematic behavior is either ignored or reframed as a strategy against perceived threats from outside groups.

Fear of Social Repercussions: Individuals within the movement may fear social repercussions or ostracization for criticizing Trump or the MAGA ideology. This can lead to a reluctance to engage in open dialogue about his criminal behavior, further entrenching group loyalty.

Charismatic Authority: Trump's charismatic leadership style may contribute to a phenomenon where supporters view him as an embodiment of their values, leading to a willingness to overlook or dismiss actions that contradict those values, reinforcing loyalty to his persona rather than to ethical standards.

These factors create an environment where bizarre behaviors, such as ignoring or discounting criminal actions, become more prevalent among supporters. This reflects how group dynamics and psychological processes can influence individual behavior, especially in the context of strong social identities and charismatic leadership.

I said:

This has even taken his MaGA people to vote against their own interests, their own country, against the US Constitution, and the spirit of America, to the point that some of them have said they'd rather "spend time with Putin than a Democrat."

ChatGPT said:

Yes, the phenomenon you describe—supporters voting against their own interests, the interests of their country, and even the principles enshrined in the Constitution—can be analyzed through the same psychological and sociological lenses previously mentioned. Here are some key points to consider:

Identity Over Interests: Many supporters prioritize their identity and affiliation with the MAGA movement over their individual interests or the broader interests of the country. This can manifest in a willingness to support policies or candidates that may not align with their economic or social well-being if those policies are framed as part of their group's identity.

Polarization and Us vs. Them Mentality: Political polarization has intensified, leading to a perception of Democrats not just as political opponents but as existential threats. This "us vs. them" mentality can make supporters more likely to align with leaders like Trump, even when it means voting against their interests, simply to oppose the perceived enemy.

Charismatic Leadership and Loyalty: Trump’s charismatic leadership fosters a strong emotional connection with his supporters. This can lead individuals to prioritize loyalty to him over their own rational interests or the principles of democracy. When supporters say they’d prefer spending time with authoritarian figures like Putin rather than Democrats, it underscores the depth of their allegiance to their leader and their rejection of opposing viewpoints.

Manipulation of Fear and Mistrust: Trump's rhetoric often plays on fears of socialism, immigration, and societal change, which can lead supporters to view Democrats as threats to their way of life. This fear can override rational decision-making regarding their interests or the implications for the country.

Social Reinforcement: Within their social circles, MAGA supporters may find reinforcement for their beliefs, further entrenching their views and making it harder to consider alternative perspectives. The echo chamber effect can create a distorted view of reality where opposing ideas are not only rejected but vilified.

Disregard for Democratic Norms: Some supporters may embrace authoritarian figures because they perceive a breakdown of trust in democratic institutions. Their willingness to disregard the Constitution or democratic norms reflects a broader crisis of legitimacy and trust in those institutions, as they align more with leaders who promise to disrupt the status quo, regardless of the consequences.

Nostalgia and Idealization: Supporters may idealize a past vision of America that they believe Trump embodies, leading them to overlook actions or policies that contradict democratic values. This nostalgia can be a powerful motivator for voting behavior, even when it aligns with authoritarianism.

Emotional Appeals: Trump's ability to connect emotionally with his base through rallies, social media, and rhetoric can lead to decisions driven more by emotional resonance than rational analysis. This emotional connection often transcends traditional political considerations, encouraging loyalty even when it contradicts their interests.

In summary, the behavior of voting against one's own interests and embracing authoritarian figures can be understood as a complex interplay of identity, loyalty, emotional manipulation, and social dynamics, reflecting deeper issues within contemporary American political discourse.

I asked:

How do you combat such a challenge?

ChatGPT said:

Combating the challenges posed by the dynamics of group behavior, polarization, and the willingness of individuals to support authoritarian figures over their own interests requires a multifaceted approach. Here are several strategies that can be effective:

Promote Critical Thinking: Encourage educational programs and initiatives that foster critical thinking skills. Teaching individuals to analyze information, evaluate sources, and consider multiple perspectives can help combat the acceptance of misinformation and dogma.

Encourage Open Dialogue: Create safe spaces for open dialogue where individuals can discuss differing viewpoints without fear of backlash. Facilitating respectful conversations can help break down barriers and encourage understanding between opposing groups.

Empathy and Storytelling: Share personal stories that humanize issues and illustrate the real-world consequences of political decisions. Empathy can bridge divides and create connections that transcend ideological differences.

Highlight Common Values: Focus on shared values and common ground, rather than divisive issues. Emphasizing areas of agreement can help build coalitions and reduce hostility between groups.

Combat Misinformation: Actively address misinformation and disinformation by promoting media literacy and fact-checking resources. Encouraging individuals to verify claims before accepting them can reduce the spread of false narratives.

Leverage Trusted Voices: Engage respected figures within communities to help bridge divides and foster understanding. Leaders who can speak to their peers with credibility may be more effective in challenging harmful narratives.

Community Building: Foster local community initiatives that encourage collaboration across political lines. Engaging in community service, local projects, or shared interests can help individuals see each other as neighbors rather than adversaries.

Address Economic Concerns: Many individuals support populist movements due to economic insecurity. Advocating for policies that address economic disparities and improve the well-being of all citizens can reduce the appeal of authoritarian figures.

Promote Democratic Norms: Emphasize the importance of democratic norms, institutions, and the rule of law. Educational campaigns can help people understand the consequences of undermining these principles and the value of civic engagement.

Encourage Civic Participation: Mobilize individuals to engage in democratic processes, such as voting, attending town halls, and participating in local governance. Increased civic engagement can empower individuals to advocate for their interests within a democratic framework.

Use Social Media Wisely: Utilize social media platforms to disseminate positive messages, counter misinformation, and create campaigns that promote understanding and cooperation. Engaging narratives can attract attention and foster discussion.

Be Patient and Persistent: Changing deeply held beliefs and behaviors takes time. Approaching discussions with patience and persistence, recognizing that change is often gradual, is essential for long-term impact.

By implementing these strategies, individuals and organizations can work to counter the negative effects of group dynamics, promote healthier political discourse, and foster a more informed and engaged citizenry. Ultimately, the goal is to create an environment where rational discussion and democratic values prevail over fear, division, and authoritarianism.


I asked:

Do you think we'll be OK, and how long will it take to get back to a new normal?

ChatGPT said:

The path to a new normal in the political landscape and societal dynamics is complex and varies significantly based on numerous factors, including the actions of leaders, community responses, and individual engagement. 

Here are some considerations regarding the potential for recovery and the timeline:

Historical Context: Societies have faced political upheaval, polarization, and authoritarianism throughout history. While these periods can be challenging, many societies have ultimately returned to a more stable and functional state. The process can be long, but history shows that recovery is possible.

Grassroots Movements: Increased civic engagement and grassroots movements can drive change. The resurgence of activism in various forms suggests a willingness among many individuals to advocate for democratic values and challenge authoritarian tendencies.

Educational Initiatives: Investing in education that promotes critical thinking, media literacy, and civic engagement can create a more informed electorate. Over time, this can lead to a more resilient society capable of resisting harmful ideologies.

Changing Demographics: As demographics shift, younger generations often bring different values and perspectives. Their engagement in politics and social issues can influence the direction of society, potentially fostering a more inclusive and democratic environment.

Technology and Communication: The rise of technology and social media can facilitate more rapid dissemination of information, allowing for grassroots movements to gain momentum quickly. However, it also presents challenges, such as the spread of misinformation, which must be addressed.

Leadership and Accountability: The emergence of leaders who prioritize democratic norms and values can help steer society back toward a healthier political landscape. Accountability for those who undermine these principles is also crucial for restoring trust.

Economic Factors: Addressing economic concerns and disparities will be vital for fostering social stability. Societal healing often correlates with improvements in economic well-being and opportunities for all.

Cultural Shifts: Societal values can evolve over time. As communities engage in dialogue and build connections across divides, there is potential for a cultural shift toward more tolerance, understanding, and cooperation.

Timeline for Recovery

Short-Term (1-5 years): In the near term, we may see increased activism and mobilization around democratic values, but deep-seated divisions may still exist. Local initiatives, community building, and education efforts can lead to incremental improvements.

Medium-Term (5-10 years): With sustained efforts, including civic engagement and addressing economic issues, we might see a more significant cultural shift and a gradual return to healthier political norms. New leadership could emerge, and younger generations might play a key role in shaping the future.

Long-Term (10+ years): A new normal could emerge as societal values shift, political norms are reinforced, and institutional trust is rebuilt. This process may take a generation or more, but history indicates that societies can recover from periods of turmoil.

Ultimately, while the challenges are significant, there is also a strong foundation of resilience and potential for positive change. The timeline for recovery will depend on collective efforts, civic engagement, and the prioritization of democratic principles in the years to come. The future remains uncertain, but the capacity for growth and improvement is present.

I asked: 

Briefly, how long if Donald Trump wins the presidency again in 2024, and how long if Kamala Harris wins?

ChatGPT said:

The potential timelines for societal recovery and normalization can vary significantly depending on who wins the presidency in 2024:

If Donald Trump Wins:

  • Short-Term (1-2 years): Expect heightened polarization and further entrenchment of authoritarian tendencies, with potential erosion of democratic norms. Resistance from opposing groups may increase, leading to further societal division.
  • Medium-Term (3-5 years): If Trump's policies continue to favor divisive rhetoric and policies, significant challenges to democratic institutions may arise, making recovery more difficult. However, grassroots movements and civic engagement could grow as a reaction.
  • Long-Term (5-10+ years): Recovery could be prolonged, depending on how deeply his administration undermines democratic norms and institutions. Societal healing might take a generation or more, with potential for significant unrest and resistance.

If Kamala Harris Wins:

  • Short-Term (1-2 years): A Harris presidency could lead to an initial period of stabilizing efforts, focusing on rebuilding trust in institutions and addressing social divisions. There may be backlash from Trump supporters, but institutional norms could be reinforced.
  • Medium-Term (3-5 years): With a focus on inclusive policies and community engagement, society may begin to heal, leading to a gradual return to a more functional political climate. Collaborative efforts may foster dialogue across divides.
  • Long-Term (5-10 years): Recovery and normalization could occur more rapidly, especially if economic and social policies address the root causes of division. Trust in institutions could be restored, allowing for a healthier political landscape.

In summary, a Trump victory may prolong the path to recovery, while a Harris victory could facilitate a more rapid return to stability, though challenges would still exist regardless of the outcome.

Friday, July 7, 2023

Walkabout Thoughts #45

My thoughts, Stream of consciousness, rough and ready, while walking off long Covid and listening to podcasts…June 28, 2023 Wednesday


Just thinking about Donald Trump‘s bone spurs. They got him out of Vietnam. I had forgotten what a surgeon said when I was in 10th grade and he had to operate on the left nonexistent arch of my foot that was growing the other direction, outward. He said I had the flattest feet he’d ever seen on an operating table. When I joined the Air Force, at the AFEES induction station where they do your physical, they wouldn’t let me take my socks off: “if you wanna get in the Air Force, leave them on.“ When I got to basic training that night going forward, I had problems with my feet. They sent me to the base foot doctor who gave me a waiver to help me get through basic training. Partly because he saw how I was and knew that I would continue to hurt myself. I would make it through anyway, but he wanted to make it easier on me. The first day I was in basic training when they issued us our clothes they gave me utility fatigues... that were a size too big and... combat boots a size too small. When the foot doctor found that out he was furious. Yes phone spurs are painful. But you have to weigh that against your degree of patriotism. something Donald Trump has none of. Unless... it’s profitable.

An adjunct to that story about basic training is that I went in "guaranteed job" for Law Enforcement ("LE"). But they kick me out from that AFSC (Air Force Specialty Code) because of all the walking one does, um... sitting in a squad car all day? I hadn’t put in for "SP", Security Police where they DO stand around and walk all day. So I chose an alternate job of Flight Simulator Technician to train pilots. But at the last moment that got taken and I ended up with my alternative selection: Parachute Rigger ("rigger", "panty packer", etc.). A job where you walk up and down a 40 foot table over a concrete floor and pack chutes on all day. And as I was at a SAC base, Strategic Air Command, I also had to pack B-52 drag chutes that weigh 228 pounds, where part of that process is packing it into the big bag that goes in the tail of the B-52. To do THAT, you have to hold onto a bar above your head and jump up and down on the 200lbs of nylon (which gave you the worst fucking shocks!), repeatedly until you could close the bag. Interestingly, I've noticed in recent years they always show TWO airmen packing those (three in one video) where I had to do those alone. I did daily packed between 4 and 13-14 a day, for years. First you dragged them in from outside the shop door where they were dropped after being brought in from the flightline, sometimes having scooped up 100lbs or so of snow, or were very heavy in being soaked in the rain. If wet you dragged them through the shop around corners into the tower where you hung them up to dry. When dry they were very fluffy and the static charge was painful. But that job had the physical body codes for lower body, that allowed me to do that job, when I had gotten knocked out of Law Enforcement. The only thing I really was annoyed by about that job was they wouldn't let us jump our own packed chutes. When I asked why, they said they "lost too many riggers." I eventually became parachute shop supervisor and taught the Survival School instructors how to pack and certified them. We also packed, aside from the 28' parabolic emergency personnel chutes, the B-52 48' ribbon nylon declaration (drag) chutes, and the "PJ's", ParaRescue guy's 32' chutes which they jumped almost daily and needed to be bigger to compensate for their additional gear.

Today is (not) my lil big sister's birthday (I found out after saying happy birthday that I was on the right day, a month too soon!). I think about all we’ve been through since I was born in 1955 and the three years she lived before that, that at this point in life we’re pretty much the two that we’ve known more than anyone else at that length of time (our parents are long gone now). Our mom left my sister's dad in Montana and then I was born with my dad. At three we moved to Spain after he had been there a couple of months getting used to a job Grandpa got him, our mom‘s dad, who traveled the world for work. They then split up and we moved to the main branch of our family in Philadelphia, for a while. Mom remarried, had a kid and moved us back to Tacoma where I had been born. When I was four years old, she said she was going to marry some guy, my sister and I not knowing she was pregnant at the time. I told her, in front of him, to please not marry him because I didn't like him. I never had a problem speaking my mind. I said it and realized he was in the room with us. But I figured, Well, too late and made it even more clear. NO. That being clear and open about my feelings when I saw something wrong happening, got me beat up repeatedly by other boys through grade school. It wasn’t until one of them in fourth grade (I kept getting picked on by bigger kids) at yet another new school, that a kid picked on me for my lunch money. Kids seemed either to have to be way bigger than me, or in a group of boys. The next day, the second time he tried to take my lunch money I basically told him to go to hell and called his bluff. And that was the end of that. 

Anyway, my sister spent her life traveling the world as a flight attendant, and then a senior flight attendant until she retired when Covid hit. Just after that, flight attendants started getting attacked by passengers. Because of a vocal minority who had been too silent too long and were being enabled by an abusive Donald Trump as POTUS45. You do NOT enable criminals, you do NOT enable the worst of humanity... and you do NOT give someone like Donald Trump, a sociopathic narcissist, the most powerful office in the world. Even though I was younger brother, I had an older brother’s penchant for protecting my older sister. She had to live through this bullshit that we’re still going through, but I'm glad she retired when she had. I'm just sorry she had to see this nonsense we're all living through. I'm sorry any of us have to see it.

And I apologize for America to the world for this. We can do better.

Jon Lovett on "Bidenomics": "On one side, we’re building train tracks, on the other side... they’re chasing Adam Schiff with a blow torch, and they’re going to keep chasing him until they catch him!"

That was kind of in reference to Biden‘s economic package, which has Ford building two new battery factories, with American workers, and forcing Ford to supply child care services. I’m sorry, but that’s America. Don’t know what the fuck Republicans have been doing, not their job, surely. They seem to think their job is ONLY to keep their job. They’ve taken the concept of "your elected, so do the job you were elected to do", into...do anything you have to to keep your job, at any or all costs to anyone else, just not you guys...don’t ever show patriotism or courage or put your job on the line for Americans. But be sure to put others jobs on the line and put others lives on the line, and then when you have the time, enable an insurrection.

Elections are a choice, as I think Dan just said on "Pod save America". You either get cheaper healthcare or ... tax cuts for the rich. One or the other, which do you want? Democrat or Republican?

Rumors of some MAGA types yelling, "Bring me Mickey!" because they want to beat up the Mickey Mouse mascot, some actor in a Mickey suit. It would be hilarious to have that actor in a suit with a bunch of other characters come out with hatchets and swords and run toward such idiots. Yelling at Disney characters, Disney cartoon characters? Ron DeSantis and his morons are throwing shade at Disney cartoon characters? They’re fighting cartoons now? What?

And yes, there’s been some on the left attacking Disney characters in movies before. But it's not been the same thing, not at all. Sometimes it's for good reason. But I would argue canceling them isn’t the way to go anymore... that’s been done. Now you just have to voice your opinion and let things take due course. "Instant change" is unreasonable and unreliable. It always has been. It's desired, sure. But moving government TOO fast? Almost always brings on unnecessary repercussions (if one first thinks, researches, then makes decisions) and often we see damages from unseen areas.

So apparently, Reuters put out an article about how pissed off Putin was with the Wagner leader.

A semi Fascist women’s group, "kneecapped" the DeSantis campaign for his making the worst choice of his campaign, in scheduling an event opposite theirs with Trump, which was sold out. I’m amazed with what a loser this guy is. And how badly he’s doing against Trump.

SuperPAC supporting RFK Jr are the same people who supported Marjorie Taylor Greene, and some other losers like her.

Word of the day: MAGA Grifter. RFK Jr and his supporters, see also, Donald Trump, Steve Bannon, Roger Stone, US Congress MAGA types. See also Republican governors of Florida and Texas, et al.

Remember that anytime you hear that government officials suggest privatizing government services, 100% of the time you need to only lightly dig into that to find how it’s defective and why and why they’re saying that. Because almost always it’s a bad idea. There are some things that can be privatized, but they’re actually very few.

Republicans: Throw the baby out with the bathwater!
Democrats: Uh, let’s take the baby to the doctor?
Republicans: Wait! The babies dead! Let’s take it to the doctor so we could blame him for the baby dying!
Democrats: WTF?

The day that Ted Cruz was fleeing Texas for Cancun because of a natural disaster going on, 148 people died in that. US Representative Colin Allred is going to be running against him soon and hopefully will win. During that disaster HE was busy making phone calls to see that FEMA and others were on the ball. This Rep., on January 6th during the insurrection, who has a background justifying it (as a NFL linebacker ) saw his fellow members of the House of Representatives look to him for support and protection from the Trump inspired MAGA bedlam. Ted Cruz and others who fired up that crowd to do what they did, was terrifying to every single member of the House, including those who formulated and enable that Donald Trump insurrection. As Allred points out on the podcast SCOTUS, they are our least accountable branch of government, and that has to be fixed. This from the guy who represented Justice Clarence Thomas’s wealthy friend, Harlan Crow, for four years, as attorneys tend to do for clients.

Democrats: Human, dysfunctional, reality based, humane, hears the majority, listens to minority.
Republicans: Human/criminal, which is a formula, they're human but divided by criminality, they listen to their vocal minority BASE, seriously into corporate thought, to win at all costs, screw any others.

Regarding Donald Trump‘s claim of things he said were, “locker room talk“… I used to work out the same gym and weight room that the University of Washington's Huskies football team worked out in. I used to work out in gyms on the Air Force bases when I was in USAF. I hadn’t heard the kind of talk that Trump's talking about, not since high school in the early 70s when I was a kid. Not even then. Representative Allred, who was an NFL linebacker said the same thing, that in the locker rooms he’s been in, he didn’t hear talk like Trump was claiming. And he’s not somebody one of the toxic masculinity social media stars/criminal types can call a “beta male", by any sense of the term. And I suspect that’s the issue here, as Trump's still locked into his high school boy emotional mentality that was locked into place from the 1960s or 70s. Toxic masculinity is not locker room talk, certainly not today.

On working out… I first started doing serious workouts in fifth grade in Okinawan Isshinryu Karate in Tacoma, Washington under Steve Armstrong Sensei. It was 1965. I also fought tournaments around the Pacific Northwest. I’ve never been a bodybuilder, I just want to be in good shape. Career in IT screwed that up to being sedentary so much. I continued working out though, but it’s harder to keep the weight off as you get older. One thing I’ve noticed and I've talked about this in the past, people who want to get in shape, or lose weight, to start working out after time, off I feel horrible at first. Some will quit. Happens every time. Those who keep working out, who just push through it do well. One thing I've noticed is if I haven’t worked out in a while and start working out again, after two or three days I start feeling kind of ill almost, like I'm getting a cold. Depending on how in shape you are, maybe just overall soreness but not a great feeling. If you push beyond that and just keep doing it anyway, until you get to a certain level of muscle tone and conditioning, it’s a whole different experience. It takes that sense of delayed gratification in life that has served me well. I’ve known so many people who can’t do that and commiserate about how unlucky they’ve been or how tough their life has been. I’ve had a hard life too, although I’ve been lucky in someways. But you have to try to make your own luck by doing the background work, doing the sweat labor, putting in the effort and placing in yourself and position yourself, where you have a greater chance and position for luck to even take over. As my prof said once in college screenwriting, a screenplay well written left on a closet shelf will never become a movie. That statement includes that a lot of labor and effort were applied to learning the screenplay format, or whatever format, or whatever industry you’re in, and that it's all accomplished in order to produce quality, then to suffer the "slings arrows" of editors in critical reviews and still keep going. And that is the same in any career or industry.

Here’s something I would like to see AI do… Let’s take this blog as an example. I’m gonna go through read it once, to make sure it makes sense, even if it’s not in perfect format, even if it’s still in a stream of consciousness, and in a kind of scattered thoughts format. Because that brings into it, an art of it’s own. My ADHD scattered thoughts and education, and what little wisdom I have, jumping around to different things, all gives you a brief survey of something and some things, that when taken correctly and utilized properly can take you further than if I had just written anything on all this in proper format. I had a professor at Western Washington University, who could be harsh, but had "a brain the size of the planet", Professor Mills, who could be harsh, but funny, and I swear, and I even wrote this in a letter to the administration at that school, in support of him, that I could learn as much in two weeks from that professor as any could from most other professors in a whole quarter, three months of the school year. So sometimes when you’re reading things that seem like nonsense, there’s something deeper going on, or its doing something in your brain chemistry that’s can be very profitable. We find this with our poets and artists. And that’s why I thought these "walkabout thoughts" might be useful. Not to all, but to some. But if you’re reading it as an authoritative essay on something, then you’re on the wrong track. Getting back to what I wanted an AI to do... I use voice to text as I walk my walk about helping with my long Covid issues, I will go home after and dump this onto my blog and save it. When I have the time and energy, I will read from top to bottom and make it at least readable and understandable. Because sometimes I’ll hit phrases or sentences and even I don’t know what the hell I was talking about. At which point I’ll either figure it out and rewrite it, or delete it and move on. This isn’t something I wanna waste lots of time on. But THEN, I've love to run it through an AI. so that when I make a comment like I did above as in, “slings and arrows“, that’s obviously a Shakespeare reference, I would like AI to take maybe the first three letters of "slings" and not make it look like it’s hypertext or clickable, but only when you place your cursor over it. Then click on that first letter, and it’ll take you to a webpage referencing the Shakespeare reference. Then the second letter will go to a page that examines the context of why I used that phrase and more relevant to the context of the paragraph in my blog, and then on the third letter, something toward an even more exacingt example, perhaps of precisely what I’m referring to. And that I think, would be very useful to humankind.

Ha! This is funny and relevant… I went into the comment above about exercise and working out and pushing through, because of what I was gonna say, and didn’t… On my 3rd mile today...actually before I got to my 3rd mile, I was not feeling great. I almost wondered if I should quit. Maybe do a 4th mile and then quit? Breaking my current 5 mile every other day schedule track. I’m on kind of a run now and I think I’ve done four or five in a row. I don’t want to backslide. But by the time I got to the end of the 4th mile today I was feeling better. Now I’m on the last half mile that will make up my 5 miles for the day and I’m kind of beat and sweaty and it's getting hotter.Which is why I started early today when it will get up to 78 or 80, but I can be proud of the fact that I did it today. I can be proud of the fact I didn’t break my running, walking streak… And I will not only feel better later and tomorrow, but I feel way better right now than I did on that 3rd mile. And that's such a good allegory for life. "Push on through to the other side" as Jim liked to say. See, that’s where AI would have referenced other links to Jim Morrison and The Doors.

Considering Marjorie Taylor, Greene, and Lauren Boebert's clash, and apparently the ridiculous upcoming fight with Twitter's Elon Musk, and Facebook‘s/META's Mark Zuckerberg… If you hear someone you voted for, or are going to vote for, want to resolve things through a physical confrontation with another person in their party, or any party, do not vote for them, and get others not to vote for them. We CAN brute force decent people back into being our leaders again.

Also, apparently, Elon Musk’s mother said, "They weren’t gonna fight. They shouldn’t fight", and reportedly he replied back to her, "Mom, please stop, I’m fighting him."

Cheers! Sláinte!