Tuesday, March 11, 2025

What's the Deal With Who Broke Social Security?

If I understand Social Security funding correctly, we contribute to it throughout our working lives, with the expectation of receiving benefits in retirement. However, at some point, Congress began using these funds for other purposes, shifting the system to rely on younger workers to pay for current retirees.

To fix this, we need to stop diverting Social Security funds, accept the financial burden of covering current and soon-to-retire beneficiaries, and transition to a system where each generation's contributions are preserved for their own future benefits. This would make Social Security self-sustaining and potentially even profitable.


Sounds good, but let's look at that more closely, as there are a few clarifications and nuances to consider:

  1. How Social Security is Funded:

    • Workers pay into Social Security via payroll taxes (FICA), which are split between employees and employers.
    • These funds go into the Social Security Trust Fund, which is used to pay current beneficiaries.
    • Originally, the program operated on a "pay-as-you-go" system, meaning today's workers fund today's retirees.
  2. Congress and the Trust Fund:

    • In years when Social Security collected more than it paid out, the surplus was placed in the Social Security Trust Fund, which was legally required to be invested in U.S. Treasury bonds (essentially loaning money to the federal government).
    • Congress has indeed spent this money on other government expenses, but Social Security still holds Treasury bonds as IOUs that the government is obligated to repay.
  3. The Current Problem:

    • With an aging population, fewer workers are paying in compared to the number of retirees collecting benefits.
    • The Trust Fund is projected to be depleted around the 2030s, at which point Social Security will only be able to pay out what it collects from current workers, leading to an estimated 20-25% cut in benefits unless changes are made.
  4. Proposed Fix & Challenges:

    • Stop using Social Security funds elsewhere: This would require Congress to change how surplus funds are handled (e.g., investing them differently or keeping them separate from general government spending).
    • Continue paying current retirees: This means we still have to cover benefits for those who paid in under the old system. That could require raising taxes, cutting benefits, or using other government funds to bridge the gap.
    • Phase into a self-sustaining system: If we ensure that every worker's contributions stay within the system and are not used elsewhere, it could eventually become fully self-funding—but this transition period would be financially painful.
  5. Alternative Fixes Being Considered:

    • Raising or eliminating the payroll tax cap (currently, only income up to ~$168,600 is taxed for Social Security).
    • Gradually increasing the retirement age.
    • Adjusting benefit formulas to reduce payments for wealthier retirees.
    • Creating new sources of revenue (e.g., taxing investment income for Social Security).

In short, Social Security could become self-sustaining again, but getting there would require either temporary sacrifices (higher taxes, lower benefits, or both) or major restructuring of how it's funded and invested.

So it's correct in that the money was mismanaged by Congress and it can indeed be made a functional payout system if it's not abused.

Congress has used Social Security funds for other government expenses by requiring the surplus to be invested in U.S. Treasury bonds rather than keeping it separate. This means that while Social Security technically has its own trust fund, the money has been loaned to the government, which must pay it back with interest. Some see this as mismanagement because it allows Congress to use Social Security funds for other budgetary needs instead of ensuring they remain exclusively for future retirees.

And yes, if Social Security funds were protected from being used elsewhere and properly managed, it could function as a self-sustaining system—especially if adjustments were made to address demographic changes (like fewer workers per retiree). The challenge is getting Congress to make those changes instead of continuing to use Social Security as a stopgap for other spending.

This doesn't seem complicated. Fixing what was broken does.

The concept is simple: stop raiding the Social Security Trust Fund, ensure contributions are used only for their intended purpose, and adjust for demographic shifts.

The hard part is fixing the damage already done:

  • Paying back the money that was "borrowed" through Treasury bonds.
  • Covering the gap as fewer workers support more retirees.
  • Overcoming political gridlock, since no one wants to be the politician who raises taxes or cuts benefits.

If the system had been managed properly from the start, we wouldn’t be facing a crisis. Now, fixing it requires tough choices—ones that politicians have been kicking down the road for decades.

Elon Musk has labeled Social Security as "the biggest Ponzi scheme of all time," suggesting that it is unsustainable and fraught with fraud and waste.

Regarding his role with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), Musk has been granted significant authority by President Trump to streamline federal operations and reduce waste. This includes targeting entitlement programs like Social Security for potential cuts.
However, this concentration of power has raised concerns. A federal judge recently ordered the urgent release of DOGE records, citing "unprecedented" authority and "unusual secrecy" within the department.
In summary, while Musk's characterization of Social Security as a Ponzi scheme reflects his critical stance, his expanded role under the current administration has sparked debates about transparency and the potential impact on essential social programs.

No, Social Security is not a Ponzi scheme in the classic sense. A Ponzi scheme is a fraudulent investment scam where returns are paid to earlier investors using money from new investors, rather than from actual profits. The scheme collapses when there aren't enough new investors to pay the older ones.

Social Security, on the other hand, is a pay-as-you-go system where current workers fund the benefits of current retirees. While it shares some characteristics with a Ponzi scheme—relying on new participants to sustain payouts—it is not fraudulent, as it's a government program designed to be transparent and structured for long-term sustainability (even if mismanaged at times).

The real issue isn't fraud but demographics—fewer workers per retiree and longer life expectancies, which strain the system. Fixing it requires adjustments, not scrapping it altogether.

The best way to fix Social Security without harming retirees or workers requires a balanced approach that spreads the burden fairly. A mix of these solutions could restore long-term stability:

1. Stop Using Social Security Funds Elsewhere

  • Ensure payroll taxes go only to Social Security, not other government spending.
  • Invest surplus funds in higher-yield but safe assets instead of just U.S. Treasury bonds.

2. Gradually Adjust Payroll Taxes (Without Overburdening Workers)

  • Raise or eliminate the payroll tax cap (currently ~$168,600). Wealthier individuals would contribute more.
  • Slightly increase payroll tax rates (e.g., by 1% over time) to strengthen funding without major financial strain.

3. Small, Gradual Adjustments to Benefits

  • Protect lower-income retirees from cuts.
  • Slightly adjust the benefit formula for higher earners so they receive proportionally less.
  • Raise full retirement age gradually (e.g., by a few months per year), but not so much that it harms those in physically demanding jobs.

4. Expand the Revenue Base

  • Tax investment income for Social Security (e.g., capital gains or dividends above a certain threshold).
  • Implement a Social Security surtax on very high earners to help close the funding gap.

5. Phase in Changes Over Time

  • Any tax or benefit adjustments should be gradual, preventing financial shocks to current retirees or workers.

By combining these steps without drastic cuts or sudden tax hikes, Social Security can return to sustainability while ensuring that people get the benefits they paid for.

President Trump's appointment of Elon Musk to lead the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has sparked both support and criticism. Supporters argue that Musk's innovative approach could streamline federal operations and reduce waste. Critics, however, express concerns over the concentration of power and potential lack of transparency in DOGE's operations.

Additionally, Musk's recent comments labeling Social Security as "the biggest Ponzi scheme of all time" have intensified debates about his suitability for this role, given the sensitivity surrounding entitlement programs.
In summary, while Musk's appointment aligns with Trump's agenda to overhaul federal efficiency, it raises valid concerns about transparency, accountability, and the potential impact on essential social programs


Compiled with aid from ChatGPT

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