Friday, December 26, 2025

After Trump: Why MaGA Will Not Simply Go Away

And What History Tells Us About How Long Recovery Actually Takes

There is a persistent fantasy in American political discourse that once Donald Trump is gone—out of office, defeated, imprisoned, or dead—MaGA will evaporate. History suggests the opposite.

MaGA is not a man. It is a mass grievance identity, a worldview forged through resentment, myth, and emotional loyalty rather than policy or reality. Trump did not invent it. He activated it, amplified it, and weaponized it. When he is gone, the mindset will remain.

That is not speculation. It is historical pattern.


The recurring mistake: confusing leaders with movements

Authoritarian and fascist movements almost always become detached from their original leader. Once belief replaces evidence, and loyalty replaces institutions, removal of the figurehead does not restore sanity. It creates a vacuum.

History is explicit on this point.


Germany after Hitler: myth outlives the man

When Adolf Hitler died in 1945, Nazism did not end. It went underground, into denial, nostalgia, and quiet reintegration.

Millions of Germans continued to believe Hitler “meant well.” Former Nazis resumed careers in business, law, and government. The real reckoning did not begin until the 1960s, when a younger generation forced public confrontation with the truth.

Time to clarity: roughly 20 years.

The lesson is uncomfortable but clear: belief systems do not collapse when proven false. They decay slowly, socially, and generationally.


Spain after Franco: stability before truth

After Francisco Franco died in 1975, Spain chose stability over accountability. A “pact of forgetting” helped avoid immediate unrest, but it delayed truth for decades.

Authoritarian habits lingered in institutions. Francoist nostalgia survived in families and political factions. Even today, Spain is still uncovering mass graves and debating memory laws.

Time to clarity: 30–40 years, and still ongoing.

This matters because it shows what happens when a society avoids confrontation: peace first, truth later—but truth always arrives eventually.


Italy after Mussolini: fascism never fully leaves

Benito Mussolini was executed in 1945. Fascism never fully disappeared.

It rebranded. It softened its language. It resurfaced during periods of economic stress. Myths like “at least he made the trains run on time” endured, long divorced from historical reality.

Time to clarity: unresolved. Periodic resurgence continues.

Fascism, once normalized, does not die. It hibernates.


The American precedent: McCarthyism

The United States is not immune. After Joseph McCarthy was discredited in the 1950s, the paranoia he unleashed did not vanish.

Blacklists persisted. Careers were never restored. Suspicion of intellectuals, journalists, and “internal enemies” remained culturally acceptable for years.

Time to clarity: 15–20 years.

The pattern repeats even in democracies with strong institutions.


What MaGA actually is

MaGA is best understood as:

  • A grievance-based identity

  • A rejection of institutional legitimacy

  • A loyalty test masquerading as patriotism

  • A myth-driven worldview resistant to evidence

That combination is durable. Once formed, it does not self-correct.

When Trump is gone, MaGA will fragment, not dissolve.


What happens after Trump

History suggests several predictable outcomes:

  • Fragmentation into conspiracy networks, “patriot” movements, and grievance media ecosystems

  • Narrative inversion, where accountability becomes persecution

  • Selective amnesia, where failures are erased and myths hardened

  • Radicalization of a minority, especially during perceived humiliation

Most followers will not admit error. Some will quietly disengage as social reinforcement fades. A small fraction will grow more dangerous.

This is the most volatile phase.


The danger window

The period after the leader’s fall and before reality reasserts itself is historically the most unstable.

It is when followers feel:

  • betrayed

  • humiliated

  • unmoored

  • resentful

That is when political violence, institutional sabotage, and disinformation peak.

Ignoring this phase is how democracies get surprised.


What actually restores civic sanity

Across every historical case, recovery required four things:

  1. Legal accountability (measured, consistent, not theatrical)

  2. Truth documentation (records, testimony, education)

  3. Institutional repair (courts, media, civil service)

  4. Time (decades, not election cycles)

There are no shortcuts. There is no single election that fixes this.


The uncomfortable conclusion

Trump is not the disease.
He is the accelerant and the symbol.

MaGA represents a deeper authoritarian reflex that existed before him and will persist after him. History suggests it will take 15 to 30 years for its cultural power to meaningfully dissipate, even under ideal conditions.

That does not mean surrender.
It means clarity.

Understanding the scale of the problem is the first step toward dealing with it realistically—without illusions, without panic, and without repeating the mistakes history has already documented for us.



Cheers! Sláinte! Na zdravie!



Compiled with aid of ChatGPT

No comments:

Post a Comment